Observation #14026

← Research Observations / #14026

🪙 ASTER page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ASTER

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.710260

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,396,571

Synced: 10-03 03:02 +1h

← Prev (10-03 01:00) Next (10-03 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ASTER — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3011

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 01:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00015501

Settled at: 2026-10-03 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,760,252.00

OI (USD)$26,832,813

Mark price$0.710610

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,443,072

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 01:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.139%

Change 4h +0.115%

Change 24h -0.949%

Z-score 7d 0.11

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001276%

Percentile 7d 89.3%

Percentile 30d 88.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.297%

Divergence -0.91

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

7.568

OI / Vol z-7d

0.10

OI momentum 4h

-0.902%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+460 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207718	fresh	6h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.706	normal	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 37%	early 9b -0.1ATR	near -0.3ATR	near 0.5ATR	0.78	62%	↑ +0.40	below_value	-2.26	—	#110112	0.58	bull_high	+13.14%	-0.37	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:27	↗
4h #209407	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.435	expansion	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 15b -1.2ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.18	13%	↓ -0.67	below_value	-2.90	—	#110866	0.40	bull_high	+2.13%	-0.26	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 00:19	↗
1h anchor #210195	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.485	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 48%	late 5b -1.9ATR	—	—	0.65	49%	↓ -0.39	below_value	-4.00	—	#111272	0.52	range_medium	+0.12%	-0.37	03/10 01:00 upd 03/10 02:12	↗
15m #210115	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.518	compression	bear_low	49%	noisy_chop 47%	late 21b -2.1ATR	—	—	0.36	18%	↑ +0.55	below_value	-3.85	—	#111110	0.55	range_low	-0.31%	-0.17	03/10 01:45 upd 03/10 02:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #173996	fresh	2026-10-03 01:00	0s	0.442	0.340	64/80	2026-10-03 02:00	2026-10-03 02:37
4h #173835	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	2h	0.450	0.456	61/82	2026-10-03 00:00	2026-10-03 00:39
1d #173420	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	6h	0.398	0.548	81/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #111191	fresh	2026-10-03 01:45	0s	$0.713178	$0.741149	$0.703700	hvn	-1.23	15.77
7d #111272	fresh	2026-10-03 01:00	0s	$0.739469	$0.771754	$0.726934	between	-4.01	6.39
30d #110948	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	2h	$0.735655	$0.793577	$0.711916	value	-1.00	4.77

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.724043 → $0.728204	0.57%	1.75	0.58	reversion	✓	↓ $0.013783	-5.80
below	$0.739300 → $0.742074	0.37%	1.17	0.50	reversion	—	↓ $0.029040	-12.23
below	$0.753632 → $0.759180	0.73%	2.34	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.043372	-18.26

Prix observé : $0.710260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.690470 → $0.699586	1.31%	1.30	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.010674	+1.52
below	$0.771754 → $0.781630	1.27%	1.41	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.061494	-8.77

Prix observé : $0.710260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.641650 → $0.672035	4.63%	1.77	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.038225	+2.23
below	$0.823962 → $0.869540	5.38%	2.66	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.113702	-6.64

Prix observé : $0.710260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T05:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T05:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}