Observation #14040

← Research Observations / #14040

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,539.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,674,433,193

Synced: 10-03 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-03 02:00) Next (10-03 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3279

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 02:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000747%

Annualized6.54%

Premium-0.00044025

Settled at: 2026-10-03 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)36,708.98

OI (USD)$3,103,634,308

Mark price$84,547.00

Funding next0.000693%

Day vol (USD)$2,838,787,543

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.078%

Change 4h -0.525%

Change 24h +6.560%

Z-score 7d -0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001047%

Avg 24h 0.001069%

Percentile 7d 37.5%

Percentile 30d 29.6%

Δ 4h +0.000213%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.028%

Divergence 0.15

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.082

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.67

OI momentum 4h

+0.476%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+31 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207465	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.599	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	early 17b 0.9ATR	—	—	1.24	88%	↔ -0.05	above_value	+0.95	—	#110042	—	—	—	—	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:15	↗
4h #209239	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.726	expansion	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b 0.0ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.16	3%	↔ +0.07	value	+1.30	—	#110633	—	—	—	—	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #210528	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.678	compression	range_medium	40%	noisy_chop 44%	early 12b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.11	2%	↓ -0.96	value	+1.57	—	#111205	—	—	—	—	03/10 02:00 upd 03/10 03:05	↗
15m #210454	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.551	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 41%	early 3b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.85	7%	↔ +0.05	value	+1.57	—	#111205	—	—	—	—	03/10 02:45 upd 03/10 03:00	↗
5m #210453	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.592	volatile_reversal	range_low	31%	noisy_chop 40%	early 10b -1.1ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.68	18%	↑ +0.26	value	+1.57	—	#111205	—	—	—	—	03/10 02:55 upd 03/10 03:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #174010	fresh	2026-10-03 02:00	0s	0.470	0.486	40/81	2026-10-03 03:00	2026-10-03 03:35
4h #173767	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	3h	0.531	0.550	20/82	2026-10-03 00:00	2026-10-03 00:37
1d #173351	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	7h	0.614	0.672	23/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #111286	fresh	2026-10-03 02:45	0s	$86,401.87	$87,235.00	$84,862.70	hvn	-25.82	32.88
7d #111367	fresh	2026-10-03 02:00	0s	$84,014.75	$84,853.97	$83,058.43	hvn	1.49	5.10
30d #110880	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,359.20	hvn	0.51	9.74

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,846.00 → $84,043.69	0.24%	2.74	0.53	continuation_down	✓	↑ $495.31	+6.86
below	$84,862.70 → $85,145.12	0.33%	3.91	0.56	reversion	✓	↓ $323.70	-4.49
below	$87,009.07 → $87,235.00	0.26%	3.13	0.46	continuation_up	—	↓ $2,470.07	-34.23

Prix observé : $84,539.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,551.00 → $82,785.20	0.28%	0.67	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,753.80	+4.98
below	$85,634.63 → $86,024.97	0.45%	1.11	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,095.63	-3.11
below	$86,688.53 → $87,235.00	0.63%	1.55	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,149.53	-6.10

Prix observé : $84,539.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,531.40	0.84%	0.67	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $9,007.60	+9.63
above	$81,605.93 → $82,967.47	1.65%	1.46	0.68	reversion	✓	↑ $1,571.53	+1.68
below	$86,737.87 → $87,471.00	0.84%	0.78	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,198.87	-2.35

Prix observé : $84,539.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	03:05	03:20	+0.03%	+0.08×	+0.11×	0.00×	10m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.03%	7.59%	0.04%	$1.97M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	03:05	04:05	+0.03%	+0.07×	+0.24×	-0.07×	30m	1h	High first	0.10	0.00%	+0.03%	11.06%	0.12%	$7.23M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	03:05	07:05	+0.07%	+0.18×	+0.24×	-0.07×	30m	1h	High first	0.09	0.00%	+0.07%	7.36%	0.12%	$28.87M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	03:05	15:05	+0.33%	+0.85×	+1.39×	-0.07×	11h5m	1h	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+0.33%	11.64%	0.57%	$265.69M	08:55 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	03:05	03:05	+0.53%	+1.35×	+1.52×	-0.07×	23h50m	1h	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+0.53%	11.19%	0.62%	$417.36M	08:55 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T06:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}