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← Research Observations / #14099
🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context
🪙 MORPHO
Market snapshot at
2026-10-03 03:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
02:00–03:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
03:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
04:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$2.5553
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $1,411,486
Synced: 10-03 04:02 +1h
← Prev (10-03 02:00) Next (10-03 04:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.3279
evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 02:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium0.00001846
Settled at: 2026-10-03 03:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)2,865,248.20
OI (USD)$7,324,434
Mark price$2.5563
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$1,440,916
Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.009%
Change 4h -0.404%
Change 24h -3.189%
Z-score 7d 0.00
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001250%
Percentile 7d 85.1%
Percentile 30d 90.3%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -0.533%
Divergence -0.09
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
4.665
OI / Vol z-7d
1.64
OI momentum 4h
-0.256%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+597 crowded
Time: 2026-10-03 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207700
 fresh 7h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.714 expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 39% early 7b 0.2ATR — — 0.55 56% ↑ +0.32 above_value -0.28 — #110103 0.50 bull_high +13.14% +0.53
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:26
 ↗
4h
#209380
 fresh 3h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.583 compression range_high
41%
noisy_chop 41% early 3b 0.1ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.16 3% ↓ -0.52 above_value -0.03 — #110857 0.40 bull_high +2.13% +0.31
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 00:17
 ↗
1h anchor
#210586
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.674 compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 40% early 12b -0.6ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.13 2% ↓ -0.92 above_value -0.52 — #111425 0.50 range_medium +0.05% -0.16
03/10 02:00
upd 03/10 03:11
 ↗
15m
#210507
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.382 compression bear_medium
59%
noisy_chop 41% early 9b -0.5ATR near -1.0ATR — 1.97 45% ↓ -0.53 above_value -0.30 — #111263 0.63 range_low -0.36% -0.04
03/10 02:45
upd 03/10 03:03
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#174068
 fresh 2026-10-03 02:00 0s 0.457 0.454 49/81 2026-10-03 03:00 2026-10-03 03:36
4h
#173827
 fresh 2026-10-02 20:00 3h 0.469 0.523 51/82 2026-10-03 00:00 2026-10-03 00:39
1d
#173412
 fresh 2026-10-01 20:00 7h 0.413 0.574 78/84 2026-10-02 20:00 2026-10-02 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#111344
 fresh 2026-10-03 02:45 0s $2.6228 $2.6845 $2.5916 between -6.43 8.85
7d
#111425
 fresh 2026-10-03 02:00 0s $2.5723 $2.6436 $2.4486 hvn -0.52 5.94
30d
#110939
 fresh 2026-10-02 20:00 3h $2.5532 $2.8261 $2.4306 hvn 0.26 4.89

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2.5200 → $2.5352 0.60% 1.45 0.65 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.020067 +1.91
below $2.5840 → $2.5946 0.41% 1.02 0.49 continuation_down — ↓ $0.028680 -2.73
below $2.6845 → $2.7028 0.68% 1.74 0.71 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.129220 -12.30

Prix observé : $2.5553. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2.4138 → $2.4451 1.29% 0.95 0.80 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.110158 +3.35
below $2.6436 → $2.6611 0.66% 0.53 0.61 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.088345 -2.69
below $2.7760 → $2.8317 1.99% 1.70 0.74 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.220680 -6.72

Prix observé : $2.5553. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $2.8736 → $2.9843 3.78% 1.37 0.74 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.318260 -3.93

Prix observé : $2.5553. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T06:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}