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← Research Observations / #14130
🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context
🪙 ARB
Market snapshot at
2026-10-03 04:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
03:00–04:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
04:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
05:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.196320
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $14,221,644
Synced: 10-03 05:15 +1.3h
← Prev (10-03 03:00) Next (10-03 05:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.1912
evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 03:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001021%
Annualized8.95%
Premium-0.00041830
Settled at: 2026-10-03 04:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)121,816,819.80
OI (USD)$23,916,296
Mark price$0.196330
Funding next0.000857%
Day vol (USD)$14,426,919
Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 03:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.057%
Change 4h +0.510%
Change 24h -10.365%
Z-score 7d 0.08
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.000986%
Percentile 7d 98.2% top
Percentile 30d 90.6%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h -0.618%
Divergence -0.52
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
1.651
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.17
OI momentum 4h
+2.217%
Funding +ratio 24h
88.0%
Sign streak
+7
Time: 2026-10-03 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207499
 fresh 8h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.616 expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 40% early 9b 0.1ATR — — 0.50 87% ↓ -0.34 value -2.67 — #110050 0.58 bull_high +13.14% +0.98
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:17
 ↗
4h
#210950
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.472 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 35% early 22b -0.9ATR — — 0.42 7% ↔ +0.04 value -3.06 — #111538 0.34 bull_high +1.93% -0.43
03/10 00:00
upd 03/10 04:12
 ↗
1h anchor
#210949
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.402 compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 42% mid 12b -0.6ATR — — 0.53 31% ↓ -0.70 value -3.06 inside #111538 0.46 range_medium +0.04% -0.16
03/10 03:00
upd 03/10 04:12
 ↗
15m
#210864
 fresh 0s ↓ down range range strong grind 0.461 compression bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 41% mid 8b -0.7ATR near -0.5ATR — 0.46 9% ↔ +0.03 value -2.57 — #111375 0.72 range_low -0.35% -0.07
03/10 03:45
upd 03/10 04:00
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#174099
 fresh 2026-10-03 03:00 0s 0.432 0.361 48/81 2026-10-03 04:00 2026-10-03 04:35
4h
#174179
 fresh 2026-10-03 00:00 0s 0.372 0.385 68/81 2026-10-03 04:00 2026-10-03 04:37
1d
#173359
 fresh 2026-10-01 20:00 8h 0.436 0.553 73/84 2026-10-02 20:00 2026-10-02 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#111456
 fresh 2026-10-03 03:45 0s $0.205655 $0.208210 $0.194034 value -9.95 15.11
7d
#111538
 fresh 2026-10-03 03:00 0s $0.205272 $0.216433 $0.192083 value -3.06 8.33
30d
#111620
 fresh 2026-10-03 00:00 0s $0.221355 $0.231482 $0.155796 value -3.45 10.77

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.188430 → $0.190243 0.96% 1.93 0.56 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.006077 +6.48
above $0.194858 → $0.195518 0.34% 0.70 0.50 reversion — ↑ $0.000802 +0.85
below $0.199144 → $0.201122 0.99% 2.11 0.60 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.002824 -3.01
below $0.202935 → $0.203430 0.24% 0.53 0.43 reversion — ↓ $0.006615 -7.04

Prix observé : $0.196320. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.188430 → $0.191677 1.71% 1.11 0.84 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.004643 +1.59
below $0.216027 → $0.218868 1.31% 0.97 0.71 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.019707 -6.74
below $0.231448 → $0.237130 2.43% 1.94 0.79 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.035128 -12.02

Prix observé : $0.196320. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.184578 → $0.188842 2.28% 0.61 0.39 reversion — ↑ $0.007478 +1.06
below $0.235746 → $0.256000 8.24% 2.88 0.64 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.039426 -5.61

Prix observé : $0.196320. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}