Observation #14137

← Research Observations / #14137

🪙 LINK page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LINK

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$13.9630

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $26,999,241

Synced: 10-03 05:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-03 03:00) Next (10-03 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LINK — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1912

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 03:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000487%

Annualized4.27%

Premium-0.00046103

Settled at: 2026-10-03 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,872,244.20

OI (USD)$82,023,507

Mark price$13.9680

Funding next0.000393%

Day vol (USD)$27,755,207

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 03:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.072%

Change 4h +0.086%

Change 24h -5.247%

Z-score 7d 0.14

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000934%

Avg 24h 0.000828%

Percentile 7d 23.2%

Percentile 30d 15.8%

Δ 4h +0.000122%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.194%

Divergence -0.11

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.970

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.24

OI momentum 4h

-0.150%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-03 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207527	fresh	8h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.672	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 43%	early 3b 0.5ATR	—	—	1.32	96%	↑ +0.70	below_value	-3.17	—	#110057	0.83	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.72	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:19	↗
4h #210964	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.618	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 33%	early 3b -0.7ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.29	36%	↓ -0.18	value	-2.81	—	#111545	0.62	bull_high	+1.93%	-0.50	03/10 00:00 upd 03/10 04:13	↗
1h anchor #210963	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.372	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 46%	late 13b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.47	36%	↓ -0.76	value	-2.81	—	#111545	0.62	range_medium	+0.04%	-0.09	03/10 03:00 upd 03/10 04:13	↗
15m #210871	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.675	normal	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 5b -0.2ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.57	60%	↔ +0.14	above_value	-2.07	—	#111382	0.69	range_low	-0.35%	+0.04	03/10 03:45 upd 03/10 04:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #174106	fresh	2026-10-03 03:00	0s	0.480	0.403	18/81	2026-10-03 04:00	2026-10-03 04:35
4h #174186	fresh	2026-10-03 00:00	0s	0.494	0.527	19/81	2026-10-03 04:00	2026-10-03 04:37
1d #173366	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	8h	0.546	0.662	38/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #111463	fresh	2026-10-03 03:45	0s	$14.4257	$14.4751	$13.6410	hvn	-9.05	16.31
7d #111545	fresh	2026-10-03 03:00	0s	$14.3870	$14.8935	$13.8806	value	-2.81	6.70
30d #111627	fresh	2026-10-03 00:00	0s	$14.2066	$15.3037	$12.2920	hvn	-0.52	7.76

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$13.1910 → $13.4105	1.65%	4.29	0.39	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.552500	+10.80
below	$14.0141 → $14.0910	0.55%	1.50	0.53	reversion	✓	↓ $0.051125	-1.00
below	$14.2885 → $14.3324	0.31%	0.86	0.56	reversion	✓	↓ $0.325500	-6.36
below	$14.4641 → $14.5080	0.30%	0.86	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.501100	-9.80

Prix observé : $13.9630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$13.1910 → $13.6005	3.06%	2.71	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.362550	+2.40
below	$15.5400 → $15.7770	1.51%	1.57	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.5770	-10.44

Prix observé : $13.9630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.6140 → $11.2164	5.52%	1.55	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.7467	+7.08
below	$15.0886 → $15.7770	4.46%	1.77	0.56	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.1256	-2.90

Prix observé : $13.9630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}