Observation #14159

← Research Observations / #14159

🪙 JUP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 JUP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.314570

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,428,239

Synced: 10-03 05:01 +1h

← Prev (10-03 03:00) Next (10-03 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · JUP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1912

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 03:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00002633

Settled at: 2026-10-03 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)46,724,844.00

OI (USD)$14,706,177

Mark price$0.314740

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,471,717

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 03:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.004%

Change 4h -1.342%

Change 24h +7.005%

Z-score 7d 0.07

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001037%

Percentile 7d 86.9%

Percentile 30d 89.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.629%

Divergence -0.02

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.676

OI / Vol z-7d

0.63

OI momentum 4h

-1.649%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+19 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207622	fresh	8h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.675	expansion	bull_high	71%	noisy_chop 41%	early 5b 0.5ATR	—	—	0.72	88%	↑ +0.58	below_value	-2.55	—	#110080	0.59	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.94	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:23	↗
4h #211006	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.582	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 6b -0.9ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.19	5%	↔ -0.06	below_value	-3.41	—	#111566	0.47	bull_high	+1.93%	-0.52	03/10 00:00 upd 03/10 04:15	↗
1h anchor #211005	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.395	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 6b -0.9ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.29	15%	↓ -0.85	below_value	-3.41	—	#111566	0.56	range_medium	+0.04%	-0.21	03/10 03:00 upd 03/10 04:15	↗
15m #210892	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.496	compression	bear_medium	58%	noisy_chop 39%	early 13b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.35	17%	↓ -0.41	below_value	-3.23	—	#111403	0.62	range_low	-0.35%	-0.05	03/10 03:45 upd 03/10 04:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #174127	fresh	2026-10-03 03:00	0s	0.422	0.361	53/81	2026-10-03 04:00	2026-10-03 04:36
4h #174207	fresh	2026-10-03 00:00	0s	0.396	0.463	62/81	2026-10-03 04:00	2026-10-03 04:38
1d #173389	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	8h	0.522	0.691	45/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #111484	fresh	2026-10-03 03:45	0s	$0.330549	$0.336270	$0.318442	between	-11.51	12.84
7d #111566	fresh	2026-10-03 03:00	0s	$0.329535	$0.344060	$0.319161	lvn LVN	-3.41	5.68
30d #111648	fresh	2026-10-03 00:00	0s	$0.329972	$0.355877	$0.252258	value	-1.31	8.79

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.304340 → $0.308597	1.39%	3.07	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005973	+4.30
below	$0.320837 → $0.325893	1.56%	3.64	0.87	reversion	✓	↓ $0.006267	-4.51

Prix observé : $0.314570. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.304340 → $0.315011	3.45%	2.43	0.90	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.367773 → $0.375480	2.07%	1.76	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.053203	-12.13

Prix observé : $0.314570. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.207450 → $0.220052	5.90%	1.07	0.52	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.094518	+8.02
below	$0.353076 → $0.375480	6.15%	1.90	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.038506	-3.27

Prix observé : $0.314570. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}