Observation #14312

← Research Observations / #14312

🪙 ADA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ADA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 06:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

05:00–06:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

06:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

07:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.244000

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $17,073,601

Synced: 10-03 07:00 +1h

← Prev (10-03 05:00) Next (10-03 07:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ADA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4068

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 05:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.002387%

Annualized-20.91%

Premium-0.00069100

Settled at: 2026-10-03 06:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)159,224,604.00

OI (USD)$38,798,259

Mark price$0.243670

Funding next-0.002366%

Day vol (USD)$17,850,303

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 05:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.111%

Change 4h -0.041%

Change 24h +0.885%

Z-score 7d 0.20

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000109%

Avg 24h -0.000640%

Percentile 7d 29.8%

Percentile 30d 26.7%

Δ 4h -0.001141%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.829%

Divergence -0.53

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.725

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.38

OI momentum 4h

-0.204%

Funding +ratio 24h

76.0%

Sign streak

+8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207588	fresh	10h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.609	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 39%	early 16b 0.5ATR	—	—	2.23	98%	↑ +0.41	above_value	-0.28	—	#110072	0.79	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.64	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:22	↗
4h #210992	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	weak	fading	0.481	normal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 33%	early 4b -0.5ATR	near 0.0ATR	near 0.5ATR	0.21	13%	↑ +0.37	above_value	-0.46	—	#111559	0.69	bull_high	+1.93%	-0.12	03/10 00:00 upd 03/10 04:14	↗
1h anchor #211857	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.490	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 7b -1.0ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	0.17	24%	↓ -0.94	above_value	-0.07	—	#111968	0.70	range_medium	+0.06%	-0.23	03/10 05:00 upd 03/10 06:11	↗
15m #211778	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.405	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 42%	early 1b -0.5ATR	—	—	1.01	33%	↑ +0.70	value	-0.77	—	#111805	0.75	range_low	-0.26%	-0.06	03/10 05:45 upd 03/10 06:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #174362	fresh	2026-10-03 05:00	0s	0.440	0.413	57/80	2026-10-03 06:00	2026-10-03 06:35
4h #174200	fresh	2026-10-03 00:00	2h	0.456	0.474	39/81	2026-10-03 04:00	2026-10-03 04:38
1d #173381	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	10h	0.573	0.661	30/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #111887	fresh	2026-10-03 05:45	0s	$0.239445	$0.251715	$0.236770	value	5.03	16.51
7d #111968	fresh	2026-10-03 05:00	0s	$0.244195	$0.254671	$0.242466	hvn	-0.07	4.44
30d #111641	fresh	2026-10-03 00:00	2h	$0.244512	$0.259270	$0.219078	hvn	0.06	5.65

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.236770 → $0.237324	0.23%	0.61	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006676	+7.37
above	$0.242120 → $0.242674	0.23%	0.61	0.51	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.001326	+1.46
below	$0.247840 → $0.250792	1.18%	3.26	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003840	-4.24
below	$0.257618 → $0.258910	0.50%	1.43	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.013618	-15.04

Prix observé : $0.244000. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.236770 → $0.238804	0.86%	0.74	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005196	+1.89
below	$0.257925 → $0.261180	1.25%	1.18	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.013925	-5.07

Prix observé : $0.244000. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.190190 → $0.193958	1.96%	0.53	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.050042	+7.04
above	$0.195842 → $0.202122	3.16%	0.88	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.041878	+5.89
below	$0.259270 → $0.265550	2.39%	0.88	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.015270	-2.15

Prix observé : $0.244000. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T09:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T09:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}