Observation #14364

← Research Observations / #14364

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 07:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

06:00–07:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

07:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

08:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,600.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,382,589,214

Synced: 10-03 08:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-03 06:00) Next (10-03 08:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6554

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 06:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000639%

Annualized5.60%

Premium-0.00044890

Settled at: 2026-10-03 07:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)36,707.87

OI (USD)$3,105,415,854

Mark price$84,598.10

Funding next0.000669%

Day vol (USD)$2,479,917,873

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 06:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.073%

Change 4h -0.040%

Change 24h +2.478%

Z-score 7d -0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000019%

Avg 24h 0.000940%

Percentile 7d 7.7%

Percentile 30d 9.2%

Δ 4h -0.001028%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.072%

Divergence 0.09

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.225

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.50

OI momentum 4h

+0.485%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+35 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 06:00:00 OI observed: 05:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 06:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207465	fresh	11h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.599	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	early 17b 0.9ATR	—	—	1.24	88%	↔ -0.05	above_value	+0.95	—	#110042	—	—	—	—	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:15	↗
4h #210932	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.718	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 42%	early 4b 0.1ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.10	1%	↓ -0.28	above_value	+1.49	—	#111367	—	—	—	—	03/10 00:00 upd 03/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #212233	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.340	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 16b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.12	3%	↓ -0.97	above_value	+1.79	—	#111939	—	—	—	—	03/10 06:00 upd 03/10 07:05	↗
15m #212157	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.479	compression	range_low	35%	noisy_chop 37%	early 16b 0.8ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	2.35	21%	↓ -0.36	above_value	+1.79	—	#111939	—	—	—	—	03/10 06:45 upd 03/10 07:00	↗
5m #212156	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.559	compression	range_low	44%	noisy_chop 55%	late 7b 2.7ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.43	9%	↑ +0.20	above_value	+1.79	—	#111939	—	—	—	—	03/10 06:55 upd 03/10 07:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #174413	fresh	2026-10-03 06:00	0s	0.417	0.486	73/80	2026-10-03 07:00	2026-10-03 07:35
4h #174171	fresh	2026-10-03 00:00	3h	0.518	0.534	11/81	2026-10-03 04:00	2026-10-03 04:37
1d #173351	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	11h	0.614	0.672	23/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #112020	fresh	2026-10-03 06:45	0s	$84,594.40	$86,415.99	$83,846.00	hvn	0.12	53.33
7d #112101	fresh	2026-10-03 06:00	0s	$84,014.75	$84,853.97	$83,058.43	value	2.08	6.37
30d #111612	fresh	2026-10-03 00:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,463.93	hvn	0.55	10.20

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,846.00 → $83,958.97	0.13%	2.34	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $641.03	+13.30
below	$84,919.18 → $85,088.63	0.20%	3.52	0.61	reversion	✓	↓ $319.18	-6.62
below	$85,766.43 → $86,359.51	0.69%	12.31	0.55	reversion	✓	↓ $1,166.43	-24.20
below	$87,150.28 → $87,235.00	0.10%	1.76	0.50	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,550.27	-52.92

Prix observé : $84,600.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,551.00 → $82,785.20	0.28%	0.83	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,814.80	+6.44
below	$85,634.63 → $86,024.97	0.45%	1.38	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,034.63	-3.67
below	$86,688.53 → $87,235.00	0.63%	1.94	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,088.53	-7.41

Prix observé : $84,600.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,531.40	0.84%	0.71	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $9,068.60	+10.27
above	$81,605.93 → $82,967.47	1.65%	1.54	0.68	reversion	✓	↑ $1,632.53	+1.85
below	$86,737.87 → $87,471.00	0.84%	0.83	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,137.87	-2.42

Prix observé : $84,600.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	07:05	07:20	+0.02%	+0.06×	+0.06×	0.00×	15m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.02%	2.98%	0.02%	$954.37K	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	07:05	08:05	+0.07%	+0.24×	+0.24×	0.00×	1h	5m	Low first	0.58	0.00%	+0.07%	4.59%	0.08%	$17.43M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	07:05	11:05	+0.20%	+0.62×	+1.24×	0.00×	2h35m	5m	Low first	0.13	0.00%	+0.20%	15.07%	0.39%	$90.75M	08:25 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	07:05	19:05	+0.16%	+0.52×	+1.51×	-0.30×	7h5m	10h5m	High first	0.04	0.00%	+0.16%	13.23%	0.57%	$299.94M	08:25 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	07:05	07:05	+0.70%	+2.21×	+3.03×	-0.30×	23h15m	10h5m	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+0.70%	12.52%	1.05%	$610.80M	08:25 / 04:00	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T10:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T10:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}