Observation #14756

← Research Observations / #14756

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,830.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,032,779,404

Synced: 10-03 13:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-03 11:00) Next (10-03 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5741

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 11:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001000%

Annualized8.76%

Premium-0.00041997

Settled at: 2026-10-03 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)36,776.36

OI (USD)$3,119,554,883

Mark price$84,825.00

Funding next0.000945%

Day vol (USD)$1,200,919,349

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 11:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.005%

Change 4h +0.436%

Change 24h -1.380%

Z-score 7d 0.00

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000954%

Avg 24h 0.000862%

Percentile 7d 38.1%

Percentile 30d 27.8%

Δ 4h +0.000315%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.228%

Divergence 0.09

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.128

OI / Vol z-7d

0.54

OI momentum 4h

+0.439%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+40 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207465	fresh	16h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.599	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	early 17b 0.9ATR	—	—	1.24	88%	↔ -0.05	above_value	+0.95	—	#110042	—	—	—	—	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:15	↗
4h #214250	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.730	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 41%	early 6b 0.3ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.18	5%	↓ -0.70	value	+4.86	—	#112816	—	—	—	—	03/10 08:00 upd 03/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #214249	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.714	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 21b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.82	34%	↓ -0.41	value	+4.86	—	#112816	—	—	—	—	03/10 11:00 upd 03/10 12:05	↗
15m #214180	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.530	volatile_reversal	range_low	32%	noisy_chop 44%	early 3b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.34	12%	↑ +0.47	value	+4.86	—	#112816	—	—	—	—	03/10 11:45 upd 03/10 12:00	↗
5m #214179	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.654	compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 43%	early 5b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.15	35%	↑ +0.20	value	+4.86	—	#112816	—	—	—	—	03/10 11:55 upd 03/10 12:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #174884	fresh	2026-10-03 11:00	0s	0.500	0.506	34/76	2026-10-03 12:00	2026-10-03 12:35
4h #174960	fresh	2026-10-03 08:00	0s	0.521	0.551	28/76	2026-10-03 12:00	2026-10-03 12:37
1d #173351	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	16h	0.614	0.672	23/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #112894	fresh	2026-10-03 11:45	0s	$84,615.79	$84,892.92	$84,203.18	hvn	2.91	9.37
7d #112971	fresh	2026-10-03 11:00	0s	$83,585.38	$84,893.00	$83,058.43	value	5.13	7.56
30d #113048	fresh	2026-10-03 08:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,463.93	value	0.91	11.37

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,846.00 → $83,932.22	0.10%	1.17	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $897.78	+12.19
below	$84,929.87 → $85,102.30	0.20%	2.34	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $99.8667	-1.36
below	$85,213.15 → $85,324.00	0.13%	1.51	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $383.15	-5.20

Prix observé : $84,830.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,551.00 → $82,785.20	0.28%	0.97	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,044.80	+8.43
below	$85,634.63 → $86,024.97	0.45%	1.61	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $804.63	-3.32
below	$86,688.53 → $87,235.00	0.63%	2.25	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,858.53	-7.66

Prix observé : $84,830.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,531.40	0.84%	0.79	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $9,298.60	+11.74
above	$80,034.93 → $80,558.60	0.65%	0.66	0.49	reversion	—	↑ $4,271.40	+5.39
above	$81,605.93 → $82,862.73	1.53%	1.59	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $1,967.27	+2.48
below	$86,737.87 → $87,471.00	0.84%	0.93	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,907.87	-2.41

Prix observé : $84,830.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	12:05	12:20	-0.04%	-0.15×	0.00×	-0.15×	5m	15m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	-0.04%	3.24%	0.04%	$3.12M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	12:05	13:05	+0.03%	+0.10×	+0.21×	-0.28×	1h	20m	Low first	0.17	0.00%	+0.03%	5.67%	0.13%	$19.36M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	12:05	16:05	+0.03%	+0.10×	+0.81×	-0.61×	2h5m	3h45m	High first	0.02	0.00%	+0.03%	11.92%	0.39%	$117.03M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	12:05	00:05	0.00%	-0.02×	+0.81×	-1.27×	2h5m	5h5m	High first	0.00	0.00%	0.00%	11.43%	0.57%	$217.04M	— / —	17:05 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	12:05	12:05	+0.41%	+1.50×	+2.80×	-1.27×	23h20m	5h5m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+0.41%	13.25%	1.11%	$627.20M	03:55 / 05:45	17:05 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T15:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T15:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}