Observation #14804

← Research Observations / #14804

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.214100

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,463,464

Synced: 10-03 13:01 +1h

← Prev (10-03 11:00) Next (10-03 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5741

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 11:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00017524

Settled at: 2026-10-03 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)88,865,018.00

OI (USD)$19,026,889

Mark price$0.214110

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,542,487

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 11:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.031%

Change 4h +0.012%

Change 24h -9.026%

Z-score 7d -0.09

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001325%

Percentile 7d 67.9%

Percentile 30d 79.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.266%

Divergence 0.00

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.283

OI / Vol z-7d

0.85

OI momentum 4h

+0.335%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+389 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207682	fresh	16h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.541	volatile_reversal	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 38%	early 21b 0.4ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	1.14	87%	↑ +0.52	below_value	-4.41	—	#110095	0.58	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.72	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:26	↗
4h #214352	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.643	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 25b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.07	7%	↓ -0.77	below_value	-7.79	—	#113020	0.69	bull_high	+2.21%	-0.58	03/10 08:00 upd 03/10 12:15	↗
1h anchor #214350	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.748	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 1b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.45	11%	↓ -0.69	below_value	-7.79	—	#113020	0.60	range_low	+0.36%	+0.03	03/10 11:00 upd 03/10 12:15	↗
15m #214224	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.781	expansion	bear_low	48%	noisy_chop 38%	early 2b -0.9ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	2.17	43%	↑ +0.30	below_value	-7.27	—	#112864	0.71	range_low	+0.07%	-0.02	03/10 11:45 upd 03/10 12:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #174933	fresh	2026-10-03 11:00	0s	0.404	0.399	68/76	2026-10-03 12:00	2026-10-03 12:36
4h #175009	fresh	2026-10-03 08:00	0s	0.429	0.459	62/76	2026-10-03 12:00	2026-10-03 12:38
1d #173404	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	16h	0.541	0.706	40/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #112943	fresh	2026-10-03 11:45	0s	$0.213997	$0.218199	$0.210210	hvn	0.18	14.02
7d #113020	fresh	2026-10-03 11:00	0s	$0.227124	$0.230265	$0.216446	between	-7.79	8.26
30d #113097	fresh	2026-10-03 08:00	0s	$0.218062	$0.235674	$0.192321	hvn	-0.62	8.06

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.212907 → $0.213323	0.19%	0.73	0.53	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000777	+1.36
below	$0.216331 → $0.217991	0.76%	2.91	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002231	-3.92
below	$0.221726 → $0.222660	0.42%	1.64	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.007626	-13.38

Prix observé : $0.214100. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.207150 → $0.209914	1.33%	1.65	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004186	+2.50
above	$0.212426 → $0.213431	0.47%	0.60	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000669	+0.40
below	$0.233531 → $0.237300	1.60%	2.25	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.019431	-11.62

Prix observé : $0.214100. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.172270 → $0.175522	1.87%	0.60	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.038578	+7.17
above	$0.197740 → $0.200450	1.36%	0.50	0.53	reversion	✓	↑ $0.013650	+2.54
above	$0.200992 → $0.207495	3.18%	1.21	0.59	reversion	✓	↑ $0.006605	+1.23
below	$0.233507 → $0.237300	1.61%	0.71	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.019407	-3.61

Prix observé : $0.214100. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T15:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T15:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}