Observation #14905

← Research Observations / #14905

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.803680

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,378,140

Synced: 10-03 14:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-03 12:00) Next (10-03 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7212

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 12:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00015846

Settled at: 2026-10-03 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,967,972.00

OI (USD)$31,263,303

Mark price$0.802282

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,497,578

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 12:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.177%

Change 4h -0.038%

Change 24h +0.480%

Z-score 7d 0.39

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 48.8%

Percentile 30d 64.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.011%

Divergence 0.49

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

12.818

OI / Vol z-7d

3.22 extrême

OI momentum 4h

-0.396%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+443 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207738	fresh	17h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.733	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 41%	early 6b 1.0ATR	—	—	0.52	78%	↑ +0.64	value	-1.14	—	#110122	0.65	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.99	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:28	↗
4h #214427	fresh	1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.622	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 32%	early 26b 0.0ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.47	33%	↓ -0.48	above_value	-1.25	—	#113045	0.52	bull_high	+2.21%	-0.35	03/10 08:00 upd 03/10 12:18	↗
1h anchor #214778	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.575	compression	range_high	42%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 1b 1.0ATR	near 0.4ATR	near 0.2ATR	3.86	68%	↑ +0.51	above_value	-0.26	—	#113274	0.48	range_low	+0.36%	+0.35	03/10 12:00 upd 03/10 13:11	↗
15m #214701	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.429	compression	bull_medium_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 36%	late 6b 1.5ATR	—	—	1.59	80%	↑ +0.80	above_value	-1.25	—	#113045	0.58	range_low	+0.07%	+0.02	03/10 12:45 upd 03/10 13:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #175109	fresh	2026-10-03 12:00	0s	0.630	0.552	11/76	2026-10-03 13:00	2026-10-03 13:37
4h #175033	fresh	2026-10-03 08:00	1h	0.442	0.549	58/76	2026-10-03 12:00	2026-10-03 12:39
1d #173430	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	17h	0.551	0.754	37/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #113198	fresh	2026-10-03 12:45	0s	$0.794767	$0.805367	$0.786399	value	2.03	4.32
7d #113274	fresh	2026-10-03 12:00	0s	$0.803131	$0.833372	$0.780317	hvn	-0.26	5.37
30d #113122	fresh	2026-10-03 08:00	1h	$0.803353	$0.932660	$0.631587	hvn	-0.36	12.57

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.763340 → $0.769663	0.82%	1.44	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.034017	+7.75
above	$0.781564 → $0.785283	0.47%	0.85	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.018397	+4.19

Prix observé : $0.803680. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.763340 → $0.772890	1.24%	0.97	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.030790	+3.12
below	$0.873693 → $0.890670	1.92%	1.72	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.070013	-7.08

Prix observé : $0.803680. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.469470 → $0.515789	9.40%	1.93	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.287891	+12.02
above	$0.728084 → $0.766684	5.16%	1.61	0.76	reversion	✓	↑ $0.036996	+1.54
below	$0.901781 → $0.932660	3.37%	1.29	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.098101	-4.09

Prix observé : $0.803680. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T16:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T16:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}