Observation #14999

← Research Observations / #14999

🪙 ADA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ADA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.245070

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,268,423

Synced: 10-03 16:00 +1h

← Prev (10-03 14:00) Next (10-03 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ADA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.46

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 14:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.003874%

Annualized-33.93%

Premium-0.00080990

Settled at: 2026-10-03 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)159,687,390.00

OI (USD)$39,073,907

Mark price$0.244690

Funding next-0.003809%

Day vol (USD)$8,286,937

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 14:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.081%

Change 4h -0.068%

Change 24h -7.662%

Z-score 7d 0.18

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001351%

Avg 24h -0.001854%

Percentile 7d 23.2%

Percentile 30d 15.0%

Δ 4h +0.000875%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.220%

Divergence -0.20

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.107

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.58

OI momentum 4h

-0.427%

Funding +ratio 24h

40.0%

Sign streak

-9 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207588	fresh	19h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.609	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 39%	early 16b 0.5ATR	—	—	2.23	98%	↑ +0.41	above_value	-0.28	—	#110072	0.79	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.64	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:22	↗
4h #214306	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	weak	fading	0.481	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 33%	early 6b -0.4ATR	near 0.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.41	47%	↔ -0.11	above_value	-0.24	—	#112999	0.69	bull_high	+2.21%	-0.17	03/10 08:00 upd 03/10 12:13	↗
1h anchor #215471	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.480	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early 9b -0.3ATR	near -1.2ATR	—	0.19	2%	↓ -0.64	above_value	-0.07	—	#113520	0.70	range_low	+0.42%	+0.08	03/10 14:00 upd 03/10 15:09	↗
15m #215406	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.676	normal	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 36%	early 6b -0.1ATR	near -0.5ATR	near 0.2ATR	0.17	7%	↓ -0.83	above_value	+0.23	—	#113380	0.70	range_low	+0.12%	-0.01	03/10 14:45 upd 03/10 15:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #175214	fresh	2026-10-03 14:00	0s	0.440	0.481	71/75	2026-10-03 15:00	2026-10-03 15:35
4h #174988	fresh	2026-10-03 08:00	3h	0.461	0.505	51/76	2026-10-03 12:00	2026-10-03 12:38
1d #173381	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	19h	0.573	0.661	30/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #113453	fresh	2026-10-03 14:45	0s	$0.240070	$0.244503	$0.237410	between	6.07	8.61
7d #113520	fresh	2026-10-03 14:00	0s	$0.245225	$0.254250	$0.242470	hvn	-0.07	5.48
30d #113076	fresh	2026-10-03 08:00	3h	$0.244512	$0.259270	$0.219706	hvn	0.10	5.97

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.237410 → $0.238437	0.43%	1.25	0.91	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006633	+8.05
above	$0.241050 → $0.241703	0.27%	0.79	0.85	reversion	✓	↑ $0.003367	+4.09
above	$0.242170 → $0.242823	0.27%	0.79	0.89	reversion	✓	↑ $0.002247	+2.73
below	$0.248143 → $0.248610	0.19%	0.57	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003073	-3.73

Prix observé : $0.245070. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.236770 → $0.238860	0.88%	0.97	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006210	+2.89
above	$0.240760 → $0.242280	0.63%	0.71	0.48	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.002790	+1.30
below	$0.257480 → $0.259570	0.81%	0.97	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.012410	-5.77

Prix observé : $0.245070. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.190190 → $0.193958	1.96%	0.57	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.051112	+7.72
above	$0.195842 → $0.202122	3.16%	0.95	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.042948	+6.48
below	$0.259270 → $0.265550	2.39%	0.95	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014200	-2.14

Prix observé : $0.245070. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T18:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T18:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}