Observation #15092

← Research Observations / #15092

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.0458

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,811,744

Synced: 10-03 17:01 +1h

← Prev (10-03 15:00) Next (10-03 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6061

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 15:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00012749

Settled at: 2026-10-03 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,797,289.40

OI (USD)$11,863,573

Mark price$2.0464

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,915,035

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.435%

Change 4h -1.325%

Change 24h +0.070%

Z-score 7d -0.35

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.390%

Divergence 0.52

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.820

OI / Vol z-7d

0.59

OI momentum 4h

+0.089%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+41 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207702	fresh	20h	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	0.556	normal	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 35%	early 34b 0.2ATR	—	—	1.03	77%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+1.22	—	#110104	0.47	bull_high	+13.14%	-0.28	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:27	↗
4h #215875	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.533	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 34%	early 7b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.45	30%	↓ -0.44	above_value	-0.73	—	#113678	0.32	bull_high	+2.14%	-0.23	03/10 12:00 upd 03/10 16:14	↗
1h anchor #215874	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.457	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 47%	late 19b -1.3ATR	—	—	1.07	55%	↔ -0.05	above_value	-0.73	—	#113678	0.50	range_low	+0.30%	-0.35	03/10 15:00 upd 03/10 16:14	↗
15m #215761	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.468	compression	bear_low	48%	noisy_chop 39%	early 10b -0.9ATR	—	—	1.51	62%	↑ +0.16	above_value	-0.58	—	#113544	0.57	range_low	+0.01%	-0.11	03/10 15:45 upd 03/10 16:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #175310	fresh	2026-10-03 15:00	0s	0.461	0.474	57/68	2026-10-03 16:00	2026-10-03 16:36
4h #175377	fresh	2026-10-03 12:00	0s	0.480	0.507	47/68	2026-10-03 16:00	2026-10-03 16:38
1d #173413	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	20h	0.405	0.570	80/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #113611	fresh	2026-10-03 15:45	0s	$2.0543	$2.0902	$2.0146	hvn	-1.32	11.67
7d #113678	fresh	2026-10-03 15:00	0s	$2.0606	$2.1537	$2.0108	hvn	-0.73	6.97
30d #113745	fresh	2026-10-03 12:00	0s	$2.0612	$2.2237	$1.9360	hvn	-0.26	4.45

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0146 → $2.0318	0.85%	2.66	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.013965	+2.15
below	$2.0797 → $2.0835	0.18%	0.59	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.033910	-5.23
below	$2.1218 → $2.1295	0.36%	1.18	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.076040	-11.73

Prix observé : $2.0458. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.9299 → $1.9676	1.94%	1.84	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.078158	+3.81
below	$2.2022 → $2.2534	2.30%	2.50	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.156379	-7.63

Prix observé : $2.0458. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.8135 → $1.9254	5.98%	1.73	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.120423	+1.86
below	$2.4049 → $2.4528	1.97%	0.74	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.359052	-5.55

Prix observé : $2.0458. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T19:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}