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← Research Observations / #15099
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-03 16:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
15:00–16:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
16:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
17:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.095800
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $15,100,676
Synced: 10-03 17:02 +1h
← Prev (10-03 15:00) Next (10-03 17:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationmixed_dispersion
Leadershipalts
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.6061
evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 15:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium0.00000607
Settled at: 2026-10-03 16:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)973,613,156.00
OI (USD)$93,310,111
Mark price$0.095839
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$16,350,109
Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.149%
Change 4h +0.656%
Change 24h +3.639%
Z-score 7d 0.16
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001250%
Percentile 7d 82.1%
Percentile 30d 78.9%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h +0.846%
Divergence 0.19
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
5.310
OI / Vol z-7d
4.64 extrême
OI momentum 4h
-2.155%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+400 crowded
Time: 2026-10-03 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207714
 fresh 20h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.664 expansion_after_compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 37% early 7b -0.2ATR near 0.3ATR near 0.1ATR 1.38 96% ↑ +0.78 value -1.34 — #110110 0.54 bull_high +13.14% +0.57
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:27
 ↗
4h
#215892
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.400 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 37% early 7b -0.1ATR — — 0.31 30% ↓ -0.40 above_value -0.88 — #113685 0.49 bull_high +2.14% -0.36
03/10 12:00
upd 03/10 16:15
 ↗
1h anchor
#215891
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral range range strong grind 0.703 compression range_high
41%
noisy_chop 37% late 25b 0.9ATR — — 0.51 3% ↓ -0.24 above_value -0.88 — #113685 0.50 range_low +0.30% +0.22
03/10 15:00
upd 03/10 16:15
 ↗
15m
#215766
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind 0.628 compression bull_medium
61%
noisy_chop 44% early 6b 0.5ATR near 0.4ATR near -0.7ATR 0.34 3% ↑ +0.30 above_value -0.52 — #113550 0.51 range_low +0.01% -0.05
03/10 15:45
upd 03/10 16:03
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#175316
 fresh 2026-10-03 15:00 0s 0.520 0.563 32/68 2026-10-03 16:00 2026-10-03 16:36
4h
#175383
 fresh 2026-10-03 12:00 0s 0.431 0.511 60/68 2026-10-03 16:00 2026-10-03 16:38
1d
#173418
 fresh 2026-10-01 20:00 20h 0.431 0.481 75/84 2026-10-02 20:00 2026-10-02 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#113618
 fresh 2026-10-03 15:45 0s $0.093170 $0.094726 $0.091015 between 5.20 7.34
7d
#113685
 fresh 2026-10-03 15:00 0s $0.096781 $0.104508 $0.090578 hvn -0.88 9.87
30d
#113752
 fresh 2026-10-03 12:00 0s $0.095188 $0.109756 $0.084314 hvn 0.12 6.26

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.090196 → $0.091124 1.02% 1.84 0.66 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.004676 +9.25
below $0.096036 → $0.096745 0.74% 1.40 0.76 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.000236 -0.47

Prix observé : $0.095800. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.089272 → $0.091013 1.93% 1.23 0.71 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.004787 +3.39
below $0.108208 → $0.109513 1.20% 0.93 0.48 continuation_up — ↓ $0.012408 -8.80
below $0.112343 → $0.115390 2.68% 2.16 0.78 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.016543 -11.73

Prix observé : $0.095800. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.076517 → $0.080210 4.71% 0.91 0.77 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.015590 +3.84
below $0.118374 → $0.125760 6.05% 1.82 0.75 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.022574 -5.55

Prix observé : $0.095800. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T19:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}