Observation #15111

← Research Observations / #15111

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 17:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

16:00–17:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

17:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

18:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,710.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $488,701,234

Synced: 10-03 18:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-03 16:00) Next (10-03 18:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.8992

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 16:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000842%

Annualized7.38%

Premium-0.00043261

Settled at: 2026-10-03 17:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,029.77

OI (USD)$3,136,976,952

Mark price$84,715.00

Funding next0.000859%

Day vol (USD)$531,631,664

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 16:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.123%

Change 4h +0.534%

Change 24h -1.255%

Z-score 7d -0.12

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000951%

Avg 24h 0.000832%

Percentile 7d 36.9%

Percentile 30d 27.4%

Δ 4h -0.000049%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.147%

Divergence -0.51

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.290

OI / Vol z-7d

4.15 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+0.692%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+45 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 16:00:00 OI observed: 15:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 16:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207465	fresh	21h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.599	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	early 17b 0.9ATR	—	—	1.24	88%	↔ -0.05	above_value	+0.95	—	#110042	—	—	—	—	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:15	↗
4h #215779	fresh	1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.731	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 40%	early 7b 0.3ATR	near 0.5ATR	—	0.23	8%	↓ -0.73	above_value	+5.98	—	#113496	—	—	—	—	03/10 12:00 upd 03/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #216174	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.621	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 36%	late 26b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.64	4%	↑ +0.41	above_value	+5.53	—	#113630	—	—	—	—	03/10 16:00 upd 03/10 17:05	↗
15m #216114	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.520	expansion	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 2b -1.5ATR	—	—	1.04	38%	↓ -0.24	above_value	+5.53	—	#113630	—	—	—	—	03/10 16:45 upd 03/10 17:00	↗
5m #216113	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.509	expansion	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 50%	late 7b -2.7ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.90	66%	↓ -0.48	above_value	+5.53	—	#113630	—	—	—	—	03/10 16:55 upd 03/10 17:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #175398	fresh	2026-10-03 16:00	0s	0.443	0.502	65/67	2026-10-03 17:00	2026-10-03 17:35
4h #175329	fresh	2026-10-03 12:00	1h	0.519	0.554	26/68	2026-10-03 16:00	2026-10-03 16:37
1d #173351	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	21h	0.614	0.672	23/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #113764	fresh	2026-10-03 16:45	0s	$84,801.52	$84,992.53	$84,568.63	lvn LVN	-1.27	5.89
7d #113832	fresh	2026-10-03 16:00	0s	$83,585.38	$84,893.00	$83,058.43	value	5.10	8.33
30d #113697	fresh	2026-10-03 12:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,359.20	value	1.02	12.09

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$84,375.00 → $84,432.57	0.07%	0.80	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $277.43	+3.85
inside	$84,662.83 → $84,720.40	0.07%	0.80	0.66	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $84,710.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,551.00 → $82,785.20	0.28%	1.06	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,924.80	+8.74
below	$85,634.63 → $86,024.97	0.45%	1.77	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $924.63	-4.20
below	$86,688.53 → $87,235.00	0.63%	2.48	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,978.53	-8.98

Prix observé : $84,710.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.70	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $9,283.33	+12.32
above	$80,034.93 → $80,558.60	0.65%	0.70	0.49	reversion	—	↑ $4,151.40	+5.51
above	$81,501.20 → $82,862.73	1.66%	1.81	0.69	reversion	✓	↑ $1,847.27	+2.45
below	$86,737.87 → $87,471.00	0.84%	0.97	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,027.87	-2.69

Prix observé : $84,710.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	17:05	17:20	0.00%	-0.01×	+0.10×	-0.69×	15m	5m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	0.00%	21.67%	0.20%	$9.78M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	17:05	18:05	+0.06%	+0.22×	+0.22×	-0.69×	1h	5m	Low first	0.17	0.00%	+0.06%	13.36%	0.24%	$16.58M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	17:05	21:05	+0.08%	+0.32×	+0.76×	-0.69×	3h20m	5m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.08%	11.12%	0.38%	$48.16M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	17:05	05:05	+0.44%	+1.70×	+2.25×	-0.69×	11h25m	5m	Low first	0.13	0.00%	+0.44%	10.28%	0.76%	$231.43M	01:40 / 04:00	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	17:05	17:05	+1.35%	+5.19×	+5.48×	-0.69×	1d	5m	Low first	0.15	0.00%	+1.35%	13.98%	1.61%	$671.92M	01:40 / 04:00	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T20:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T20:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}