Observation #15204

← Research Observations / #15204

🪙 ADA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ADA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.244570

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,961,879

Synced: 10-03 19:00 +1h

← Prev (10-03 17:00) Next (10-03 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ADA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7197

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 17:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.003493%

Annualized-30.60%

Premium-0.00077947

Settled at: 2026-10-03 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)159,878,026.00

OI (USD)$39,106,165

Mark price$0.244600

Funding next-0.003496%

Day vol (USD)$4,132,268

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 17:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.004%

Change 4h +0.100%

Change 24h +0.162%

Z-score 7d 0.09

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.002307%

Avg 24h -0.001924%

Percentile 7d 14.3%

Percentile 30d 8.3%

Δ 4h +0.000024%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.476%

Divergence -0.44

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

7.051

OI / Vol z-7d

1.75

OI momentum 4h

+0.027%

Funding +ratio 24h

32.0%

Sign streak

-12 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207588	fresh	22h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.609	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 39%	early 16b 0.5ATR	—	—	2.23	98%	↑ +0.41	above_value	-0.28	—	#110072	0.79	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.64	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:22	↗
4h #215827	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	weak	fading	0.481	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 32%	early 7b -0.3ATR	near 0.3ATR	near 0.3ATR	0.09	2%	↓ -0.30	above_value	+0.02	—	#113654	0.69	bull_high	+2.14%	-0.24	03/10 12:00 upd 03/10 16:13	↗
1h anchor #216533	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.471	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early 12b -0.6ATR	near -1.6ATR	—	2.60	69%	↔ +0.05	above_value	-0.34	—	#113992	0.72	range_low	+0.13%	-0.11	03/10 17:00 upd 03/10 18:10	↗
15m #216471	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.473	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 39%	early 7b -0.7ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.22	13%	↑ +0.60	above_value	-0.01	—	#113856	0.70	range_low	-0.14%	+0.01	03/10 17:45 upd 03/10 18:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #175490	fresh	2026-10-03 17:00	0s	0.511	0.483	32/66	2026-10-03 18:00	2026-10-03 18:35
4h #175353	fresh	2026-10-03 12:00	2h	0.488	0.553	42/68	2026-10-03 16:00	2026-10-03 16:37
1d #173381	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	22h	0.573	0.661	30/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #113925	fresh	2026-10-03 17:45	0s	$0.244504	$0.246468	$0.243897	hvn	0.10	3.85
7d #113992	fresh	2026-10-03 17:00	0s	$0.245225	$0.254440	$0.242470	hvn	-0.34	6.19
30d #113721	fresh	2026-10-03 12:00	2h	$0.244512	$0.259270	$0.219706	hvn	0.01	6.26

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.240040 → $0.240968	0.39%	1.39	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003602	+5.40
above	$0.241040 → $0.241611	0.24%	0.86	0.93	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002959	+4.44
above	$0.242254 → $0.242682	0.18%	0.64	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001888	+2.83

Prix observé : $0.244570. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.236770 → $0.238860	0.88%	1.08	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005710	+2.95
above	$0.240760 → $0.242280	0.63%	0.79	0.46	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.002290	+1.18
below	$0.257480 → $0.259570	0.81%	1.08	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.012910	-6.68

Prix observé : $0.244570. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.190190 → $0.193958	1.96%	0.60	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.050612	+8.01
above	$0.195842 → $0.202122	3.16%	0.99	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.042448	+6.72
below	$0.259270 → $0.265550	2.39%	0.99	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014700	-2.33

Prix observé : $0.244570. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T21:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T21:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}