Observation #15290

← Research Observations / #15290

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.009224

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,487,605

Synced: 10-03 20:02 +1h

← Prev (10-03 18:00) Next (10-03 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7698

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 18:45:57 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00001175

Settled at: 2026-10-03 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,483,711,460.00

OI (USD)$13,690,206

Mark price$0.009227

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,557,048

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 18:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.271%

Change 4h -0.885%

Change 24h -3.960%

Z-score 7d -0.07

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 94.6%

Percentile 30d 90.7%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.261%

Divergence 0.19

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.968

OI / Vol z-7d

2.57 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+0.582%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+27 crowded

Time: 2026-10-03 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207694	fresh	23h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.644	volatile_reversal	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 37%	early 9b -0.1ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	1.23	90%	↑ +0.83	below_value	-5.22	—	#110100	0.72	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.83	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:26	↗
4h #215869	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.507	compression	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 39%	early 8b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.28	30%	↓ -0.44	below_value	-6.04	—	#113675	0.57	bull_high	+2.14%	-0.79	03/10 12:00 upd 03/10 16:14	↗
1h anchor #216883	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.379	compression	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 40%	late 28b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.20	2%	↔ -0.01	below_value	-6.45	—	#114146	0.56	range_low	+0.20%	+0.29	03/10 18:00 upd 03/10 19:10	↗
15m #216818	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.662	compression	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 43%	early 8b 0.3ATR	near 0.5ATR	—	0.23	18%	↔ +0.03	below_value	-6.27	—	#114012	0.59	range_low	-0.05%	+0.05	03/10 18:45 upd 03/10 19:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #175576	fresh	2026-10-03 18:00	0s	0.475	0.483	49/67	2026-10-03 19:00	2026-10-03 19:36
4h #175374	fresh	2026-10-03 12:00	3h	0.426	0.461	61/68	2026-10-03 16:00	2026-10-03 16:38
1d #173409	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	23h	0.409	0.476	79/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #114079	fresh	2026-10-03 18:45	0s	$0.009065	$0.009198	$0.008848	hvn	4.07	8.95
7d #114146	fresh	2026-10-03 18:00	0s	$0.009918	$0.010217	$0.009272	between	-6.45	8.78
30d #113742	fresh	2026-10-03 12:00	3h	$0.009802	$0.010497	$0.008619	value	-1.77	5.23

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.008848 → $0.008908	0.68%	1.54	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000316	+8.11
above	$0.009127 → $0.009164	0.41%	0.96	0.74	reversion	✓	↑ $0.000060	+1.56

Prix observé : $0.009224. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.008635 → $0.008770	1.55%	1.25	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000454	+4.22
below	$0.010526 → $0.010950	3.95%	3.94	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001302	-12.11

Prix observé : $0.009224. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.006666 → $0.007154	7.07%	1.36	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002070	+5.77
below	$0.010647 → $0.011173	4.82%	1.46	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001423	-3.96

Prix observé : $0.009224. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T22:45:57+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 843,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T22:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}