Observation #15763

← Research Observations / #15763

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-04 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.049512

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,218,434

Synced: 10-04 03:02 +1h

← Prev (10-04 01:00) Next (10-04 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6894

evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 01:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001350%

Annualized11.82%

Premium0.00060798

Settled at: 2026-10-04 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)203,541,732.00

OI (USD)$10,078,165

Mark price$0.049514

Funding next0.001954%

Day vol (USD)$1,220,494

Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 01:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.186%

Change 4h +0.079%

Change 24h +1.584%

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.005714%

Avg 24h 0.002611%

Percentile 7d 94.6%

Percentile 30d 91.9%

Δ 4h +0.001849%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.198%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.823

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

-0.629%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+968 crowded

Time: 2026-10-04 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 68 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #217423	fresh	6h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.598	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 4b 1.3ATR	—	—	0.95	68%	↑ +0.38	value	+1.86	—	#114296	0.37	bull_high	+13.15%	+0.99	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 20:24	↗
4h #218719	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.724	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 41%	early 7b 0.7ATR	—	—	0.26	76%	↓ -0.45	value	+1.11	—	#114887	0.42	bull_high	+2.05%	+0.92	03/10 20:00 upd 04/10 00:16	↗
1h anchor #219364	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.788	normal	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 37%	early 4b 0.6ATR	—	—	1.70	84%	↔ +0.12	above_value	+1.61	—	#115215	0.35	range_low	+0.34%	+0.49	04/10 01:00 upd 04/10 02:12	↗
15m #219235	fresh	15min	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.650	expansion	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early 2b 0.5ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	0.46	12%	↑ +0.27	value	+2.15	—	#115084	0.28	range_low	+0.11%	+0.02	04/10 01:30 upd 04/10 01:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #176251	fresh	2026-10-04 01:00	0s	0.605	0.646	18/66	2026-10-04 02:00	2026-10-04 02:37
4h #176118	fresh	2026-10-03 20:00	2h	0.598	0.741	13/66	2026-10-04 00:00	2026-10-04 00:38
1d #175790	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	6h	0.707	0.934	10/66	2026-10-03 20:00	2026-10-03 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #115149	fresh	2026-10-04 01:45	0s	$0.049607	$0.050550	$0.048621	hvn	-0.21	4.29
7d #115215	fresh	2026-10-04 01:00	0s	$0.048197	$0.053904	$0.045638	hvn	1.61	8.26
30d #114952	fresh	2026-10-03 20:00	2h	$0.042090	$0.048655	$0.038760	between	3.03	4.05

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.045508 → $0.045771	0.58%	0.58	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003741	+8.32
above	$0.047349 → $0.048445	2.29%	2.44	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001067	+2.37

Prix observé : $0.049512. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.040521 → $0.041702	2.87%	1.18	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007810	+7.81
above	$0.043276 → $0.045113	4.16%	1.84	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004399	+4.40
below	$0.055348 → $0.056266	1.65%	0.92	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005836	-5.84

Prix observé : $0.049512. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.033432 → $0.037238	10.77%	1.56	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.012274	+5.02
below	$0.053031 → $0.056266	5.92%	1.32	0.55	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003519	-1.44

Prix observé : $0.049512. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T05:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T05:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}