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← Research Observations / #15980
🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context
🪙 ARB
Market snapshot at
2026-10-04 06:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
05:00–06:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
06:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
07:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.201380
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $8,450,641
Synced: 10-04 07:15 +1.3h
← Prev (10-04 05:00) Next (10-04 07:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.4242
evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 05:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00028346
Settled at: 2026-10-04 06:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)119,998,317.80
OI (USD)$24,162,861
Mark price$0.201360
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$8,999,525
Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 05:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.448%
Change 4h +0.515%
Change 24h -1.164%
Z-score 7d 0.46
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001198%
Percentile 7d 99.4% top
Percentile 30d 90.6%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h -0.089%
Divergence -0.32
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
2.304
OI / Vol z-7d
1.16
OI momentum 4h
+0.581%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+33 crowded
Time: 2026-10-04 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#217291
 fresh 10h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.620 expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 39% early 10b 0.3ATR — — 0.32 82% ↓ -0.61 above_value +0.03 — #114241 0.58 bull_high +13.15% +1.00
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 20:17
 ↗
4h
#219973
 fresh 2h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.518 compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 35% early 9b 0.1ATR — — 0.36 4% ↓ -0.18 above_value +0.19 — #115428 0.34 bull_high +2.33% -0.21
04/10 00:00
upd 04/10 04:11
 ↗
1h anchor
#220708
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.609 compression range_high
39%
noisy_chop 37% early 9b 0.2ATR near -0.8ATR near -0.6ATR 0.23 2% ↓ -0.71 above_value -0.20 — #115768 0.54 range_low +0.66% -0.09
04/10 05:00
upd 04/10 06:09
 ↗
15m
#220646
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.669 compression range_low
37%
noisy_chop 42% early 3b 0.3ATR — near -0.6ATR 0.20 1% ↓ -0.45 above_value -0.73 — #115632 0.55 range_low +0.37% -0.10
04/10 05:45
upd 04/10 06:00
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#176535
 fresh 2026-10-04 05:00 0s 0.473 0.525 57/68 2026-10-04 06:00 2026-10-04 06:35
4h
#176398
 fresh 2026-10-04 00:00 2h 0.446 0.487 61/68 2026-10-04 04:00 2026-10-04 04:37
1d
#175736
 fresh 2026-10-02 20:00 10h 0.483 0.651 49/66 2026-10-03 20:00 2026-10-03 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#115700
 fresh 2026-10-04 05:45 0s $0.201421 $0.203207 $0.200741 hvn -0.06 3.42
7d
#115768
 fresh 2026-10-04 05:00 0s $0.201767 $0.211625 $0.196935 hvn -0.20 7.57
30d
#115496
 fresh 2026-10-04 00:00 2h $0.221355 $0.231482 $0.160060 value -3.43 12.28

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $0.203962 → $0.205120 0.57% 1.60 0.82 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.002582 -3.58

Prix observé : $0.201380. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.188430 → $0.191523 1.63% 1.59 0.85 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.009857 +5.08
below $0.216264 → $0.219357 1.42% 1.59 0.79 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.014884 -7.67
below $0.229408 → $0.234820 2.33% 2.79 0.89 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.028028 -14.45

Prix observé : $0.201380. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.128080 → $0.132344 3.27% 0.73 0.66 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.069036 +11.87
above $0.184578 → $0.188842 2.28% 0.73 0.38 reversion — ↑ $0.012538 +2.16
below $0.235746 → $0.256000 8.24% 3.48 0.63 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.034366 -5.91

Prix observé : $0.201380. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T09:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T09:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}