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← Research Observations / #16034
🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context
🪙 MEGA
Market snapshot at
2026-10-04 06:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
05:00–06:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
06:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
07:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.048910
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $1,197,394
Synced: 10-04 07:02 +1h
← Prev (10-04 05:00) Next (10-04 07:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.4242
evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 05:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001662%
Annualized14.56%
Premium0.00063298
Settled at: 2026-10-04 06:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)202,382,532.00
OI (USD)$9,876,875
Mark price$0.048803
Funding next0.001841%
Day vol (USD)$1,211,671
Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 05:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.029%
Change 4h -1.155%
Change 24h +0.434%
Z-score 7d —
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.002633%
Avg 24h 0.002670%
Percentile 7d 78.0%
Percentile 30d 81.3%
Δ 4h -0.003081%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -1.216%
Divergence —
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
8.129
OI / Vol z-7d
—
OI momentum 4h
-1.234%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+972 crowded
Time: 2026-10-04 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 72 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#217423
 fresh 10h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.598 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
70%
noisy_chop 44% mid 4b 1.3ATR — — 0.95 68% ↑ +0.38 value +1.86 — #114296 0.37 bull_high +13.15% +0.99
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 20:24
 ↗
4h
#220095
 fresh 2h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.725 volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early 8b 0.7ATR — — 0.35 84% ↓ -0.72 above_value +0.17 — #115483 0.42 bull_high +2.33% +0.91
04/10 00:00
upd 04/10 04:16
 ↗
1h anchor
#220763
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.629 compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 36% early 4b -0.2ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.21 34% ↓ -0.69 value -0.44 — #115823 0.36 range_low +0.66% +0.41
04/10 05:00
upd 04/10 06:12
 ↗
15m
#220630
 fresh 15min ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.559 compression range_medium
35%
noisy_chop 36% mid 11b -1.1ATR near -1.1ATR — 0.03 1% ↓ -0.93 above_value -0.20 — #115687 0.32 range_low +0.44% -0.23
04/10 05:30
upd 04/10 05:47
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#176590
 fresh 2026-10-04 05:00 0s 0.499 0.581 47/68 2026-10-04 06:00 2026-10-04 06:37
4h
#176452
 fresh 2026-10-04 00:00 2h 0.609 0.758 16/68 2026-10-04 04:00 2026-10-04 04:38
1d
#175790
 fresh 2026-10-02 20:00 10h 0.707 0.934 10/66 2026-10-03 20:00 2026-10-03 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#115755
 fresh 2026-10-04 05:45 0s $0.049597 $0.050372 $0.048862 value -2.14 4.71
7d
#115823
 fresh 2026-10-04 05:00 0s $0.049640 $0.053904 $0.045638 value -0.44 9.52
30d
#115551
 fresh 2026-10-04 00:00 2h $0.042090 $0.049035 $0.038950 between 3.26 4.25

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.046279 → $0.046557 0.60% 0.87 0.84 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.002353 +7.35
above $0.047352 → $0.048464 2.32% 3.47 0.72 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.000446 +1.39

Prix observé : $0.048910. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.040521 → $0.041571 2.56% 1.21 0.71 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.007339 +8.45
above $0.043276 → $0.045244 4.45% 2.27 0.59 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.003666 +4.22
below $0.055348 → $0.056266 1.65% 1.06 0.72 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.006438 -7.42

Prix observé : $0.048910. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.033432 → $0.037238 10.77% 1.60 0.70 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.011672 +4.92
below $0.053031 → $0.056266 5.92% 1.36 0.55 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.004121 -1.74

Prix observé : $0.048910. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T09:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T09:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}