Observation #16105

← Research Observations / #16105

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-04 07:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

06:00–07:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

07:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

08:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.853380

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,932,306

Synced: 10-04 08:02 +1h

← Prev (10-04 06:00) Next (10-04 08:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4015

evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 06:45:58 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00006170

Settled at: 2026-10-04 07:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,720,064.00

OI (USD)$35,655,635

Mark price$0.854640

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$6,004,706

Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 06:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.070%

Change 4h +2.176%

Change 24h +7.693%

Z-score 7d -0.09

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001797%

Percentile 7d 56.0%

Percentile 30d 63.5%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.822%

Divergence -0.82

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.049

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.01

OI momentum 4h

+2.263%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+461 crowded

Time: 2026-10-04 06:00:00 OI observed: 05:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 06:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #217429	fresh	11h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.629	volatile_reversal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 7b 1.6ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	0.72	87%	↑ +0.38	above_value	+4.94	—	#114299	0.65	bull_high	+13.15%	+1.00	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 20:24	↗
4h #220104	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.464	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	late 9b 1.9ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.99	61%	↔ -0.07	above_value	+3.84	—	#115486	0.52	bull_high	+2.33%	+0.21	04/10 00:00 upd 04/10 04:17	↗
1h anchor #221103	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.846	volatile_reversal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 9b 1.4ATR	—	—	0.60	43%	↓ -0.32	above_value	+5.16	—	#115962	0.49	range_low	+0.70%	+0.58	04/10 06:00 upd 04/10 07:11	↗
15m #221034	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.550	volatile_reversal	bull_medium	55%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 2b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.07	7%	↑ +0.57	above_value	+5.45	—	#115826	0.50	range_low	+0.39%	+0.11	04/10 06:45 upd 04/10 07:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #176661	fresh	2026-10-04 06:00	0s	0.633	0.679	11/68	2026-10-04 07:00	2026-10-04 07:37
4h #176455	fresh	2026-10-04 00:00	3h	0.624	0.737	13/68	2026-10-04 04:00	2026-10-04 04:38
1d #175793	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	11h	0.629	0.868	16/66	2026-10-03 20:00	2026-10-03 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #115894	fresh	2026-10-04 06:45	0s	$0.839852	$0.873989	$0.821471	value	2.17	8.41
7d #115962	fresh	2026-10-04 06:00	0s	$0.803857	$0.834840	$0.786220	lvn LVN	5.16	4.26
30d #115554	fresh	2026-10-04 00:00	3h	$0.797333	$0.932660	$0.639761	hvn	1.74	11.88

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.787710 → $0.792962	0.66%	0.84	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.060418	+9.68
above	$0.804966 → $0.810968	0.74%	0.96	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.042412	+6.80
below	$0.870237 → $0.877740	0.86%	1.20	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.016857	-2.70

Prix observé : $0.853380. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.763340 → $0.770013	0.87%	0.58	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.083367	+7.30
below	$0.855813 → $0.877740	2.53%	1.92	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002433	-0.21

Prix observé : $0.853380. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.487750 → $0.517411	5.90%	1.20	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.335969	+13.63
above	$0.725035 → $0.765819	5.47%	1.65	0.78	reversion	✓	↑ $0.087561	+3.55
below	$0.899292 → $0.932660	3.64%	1.35	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.045912	-1.86

Prix observé : $0.853380. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T10:45:58+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 842,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T10:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}