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← Research Observations / #16236
🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context
🪙 MEGA
Market snapshot at
2026-10-04 09:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
08:00–09:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
09:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
10:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.048972
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $1,178,541
Synced: 10-04 10:02 +1h
← Prev (10-04 08:00) Next (10-04 10:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.3778
evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 08:45:58 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium0.00053796
Settled at: 2026-10-04 09:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)202,375,274.00
OI (USD)$9,915,174
Mark price$0.048994
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$1,192,726
Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 08:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.082%
Change 4h -0.049%
Change 24h +0.474%
Z-score 7d —
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.004189%
Avg 24h 0.002799%
Percentile 7d 87.5%
Percentile 30d 86.5%
Δ 4h +0.002939%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -0.778%
Divergence —
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
8.270
OI / Vol z-7d
—
OI momentum 4h
+0.894%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+975 crowded
Time: 2026-10-04 08:00:00 OI observed: 07:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 08:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 75 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#217423
 fresh 13h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.598 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
70%
noisy_chop 44% mid 4b 1.3ATR — — 0.95 68% ↑ +0.38 value +1.86 — #114296 0.37 bull_high +13.15% +0.99
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 20:24
 ↗
4h
#221502
 fresh 1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.718 volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% early 9b 0.4ATR — — 0.07 28% ↓ -0.85 above_value -0.81 — #116093 0.42 bull_high +2.53% +0.61
04/10 04:00
upd 04/10 08:17
 ↗
1h anchor
#221834
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.627 compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 32% early 7b -0.1ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.30 37% ↓ -0.75 above_value -0.96 — #116296 0.37 range_low +0.52% -0.00
04/10 08:00
upd 04/10 09:11
 ↗
15m
#221704
 fresh 15min ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.500 compression range_medium
40%
noisy_chop 45% mid 5b -1.4ATR near -3.2ATR — 0.34 4% ↓ -0.37 above_value -0.81 — #116093 0.33 range_low +0.25% -0.19
04/10 08:30
upd 04/10 08:47
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#176861
 fresh 2026-10-04 08:00 0s 0.519 0.576 35/67 2026-10-04 09:00 2026-10-04 09:37
4h
#176790
 fresh 2026-10-04 04:00 1h 0.535 0.665 19/68 2026-10-04 08:00 2026-10-04 08:38
1d
#175790
 fresh 2026-10-02 20:00 13h 0.707 0.934 10/66 2026-10-03 20:00 2026-10-03 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#116228
 fresh 2026-10-04 08:45 0s $0.049597 $0.050372 $0.048941 value -2.49 5.70
7d
#116296
 fresh 2026-10-04 08:00 0s $0.049640 $0.053773 $0.045638 hvn -0.96 9.95
30d
#116160
 fresh 2026-10-04 04:00 1h $0.042090 $0.049035 $0.038950 value 3.06 4.45

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.046001 → $0.046915 1.97% 3.64 0.85 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.002057 +8.20
above $0.047312 → $0.048464 2.41% 4.59 0.72 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.000508 +2.03
below $0.050610 → $0.050769 0.31% 0.63 0.86 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.001638 -6.53

Prix observé : $0.048972. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.040521 → $0.041571 2.56% 1.28 0.71 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.007401 +9.05
above $0.043276 → $0.045244 4.45% 2.41 0.60 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.003728 +4.56
below $0.055348 → $0.056266 1.65% 1.12 0.72 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.006376 -7.80

Prix observé : $0.048972. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.033432 → $0.037238 10.77% 1.68 0.70 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.011734 +5.18
below $0.053031 → $0.056266 5.92% 1.43 0.55 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.004059 -1.79

Prix observé : $0.048972. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T12:45:58+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 842,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T12:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}