Observation #16326

← Research Observations / #16326

🪙 AAVE page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AAVE

Market snapshot at

2026-10-04 11:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

10:00–11:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

11:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

12:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$179.22

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $9,124,515

Synced: 10-04 12:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-04 10:00) Next (10-04 12:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AAVE — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5504

evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 10:45:56 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00039759

Settled at: 2026-10-04 11:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)475,469.00

OI (USD)$85,234,950

Mark price$179.27

Funding next0.001095%

Day vol (USD)$8,721,446

Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 10:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.003%

Change 4h +0.775%

Change 24h +2.558%

Z-score 7d 0.07

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001201%

Avg 24h 0.000385%

Percentile 7d 2.4% bottom

Percentile 30d 1.0%

Δ 4h +0.000247%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.560%

Divergence -0.92

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

10.473

OI / Vol z-7d

2.72 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+0.975%

Funding +ratio 24h

60.0%

Sign streak

-6

Time: 2026-10-04 10:00:00 OI observed: 09:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 10:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #217338	fresh	15h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.506	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 45%	late 17b 2.3ATR	—	—	0.66	79%	↑ +0.65	above_value	+7.64	—	#114253	0.68	bull_high	+13.15%	+0.99	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 20:19	↗
4h #221405	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.635	compression	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 45%	early 13b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.35	67%	↓ -0.83	above_value	+8.46	—	#116050	0.55	bull_high	+2.53%	+0.55	04/10 04:00 upd 04/10 08:12	↗
1h anchor #222457	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.514	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 12b -1.1ATR	—	—	1.78	51%	↑ +0.43	above_value	+8.33	—	#116523	0.54	range_low	+0.67%	-0.03	04/10 10:00 upd 04/10 11:09	↗
15m #222397	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.520	normal	bear_low	47%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 7b -1.0ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	2.95	83%	↔ +0.01	value	+8.02	—	#116389	0.37	range_low	+0.30%	-0.12	04/10 10:45 upd 04/10 11:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #176954	fresh	2026-10-04 10:00	0s	0.533	0.524	33/68	2026-10-04 11:00	2026-10-04 11:35
4h #176748	fresh	2026-10-04 04:00	3h	0.575	0.689	15/68	2026-10-04 08:00	2026-10-04 08:37
1d #175748	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	15h	0.692	0.914	12/66	2026-10-03 20:00	2026-10-03 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #116456	fresh	2026-10-04 10:45	0s	$182.13	$182.62	$179.80	between	-4.36	4.23
7d #116523	fresh	2026-10-04 10:00	0s	$166.45	$179.73	$157.53	hvn	8.33	14.47
30d #116117	fresh	2026-10-04 04:00	3h	$164.41	$185.86	$141.10	value	3.43	9.92

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$177.92 → $178.56	0.36%	0.96	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.658750	+0.99
below	$182.58 → $183.05	0.26%	0.70	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3.3597	-5.03

Prix observé : $179.22. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$144.07 → $146.62	1.75%	1.66	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $32.6032	+21.26
above	$150.26 → $157.17	4.50%	4.51	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $22.0520	+14.38
below	$186.27 → $187.73	0.78%	0.95	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $7.0547	-4.60

Prix observé : $179.22. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$113.12 → $121.20	6.90%	1.79	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $58.0173	+12.86
above	$173.43 → $177.78	2.48%	0.96	0.37	reversion	—	↑ $1.4380	+0.32
below	$183.38 → $187.73	2.35%	0.96	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4.1577	-0.92

Prix observé : $179.22. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T14:45:56+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 844,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T14:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}