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← Research Observations / #16683
🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context
🪙 TRUMP
Market snapshot at
2026-10-04 16:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
15:00–16:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
16:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
17:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$2.0488
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $2,954,392
Synced: 10-04 17:01 +1h
← Prev (10-04 15:00) Next (10-04 17:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationbroad_risk_on
Leadershipalts
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.7442
evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 15:45:57 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00019811
Settled at: 2026-10-04 16:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)5,696,147.60
OI (USD)$11,662,862
Mark price$2.0475
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$2,849,879
Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +1.479%
Change 4h -0.108%
Change 24h +0.349%
Z-score 7d 1.29
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.000344%
Percentile 7d 100.0% top
Percentile 30d 97.8%
Δ 4h +0.001419%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h +0.304%
Divergence 0.15
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
4.192
OI / Vol z-7d
0.70
OI momentum 4h
+0.032%
Funding +ratio 24h
64.0%
Sign streak
+4
Time: 2026-10-04 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#217400
 fresh 20h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.536 normal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 34% mid 35b -0.2ATR — — 0.45 47% ↔ -0.05 above_value -1.06 — #114284 0.47 bull_high +13.15% -0.37
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 20:23
 ↗
4h
#224215
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.641 compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 35% early 13b -0.2ATR — — 0.74 35% ↓ -0.49 above_value +0.60 — #117268 0.32 bull_high +2.57% -0.30
04/10 12:00
upd 04/10 16:14
 ↗
1h anchor
#224214
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral range bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.595 normal range_high
35%
noisy_chop 37% early 2b 0.5ATR — — 1.41 65% ↑ +0.28 above_value +0.60 — #117268 0.53 bull_low +0.77% -0.06
04/10 15:00
upd 04/10 16:14
 ↗
15m
#224099
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.702 normal range_low
42%
noisy_chop 39% early 4b 0.7ATR near -0.2ATR — 0.39 42% ↔ -0.09 above_value +0.11 — #117136 0.55 range_low +0.39% +0.03
04/10 15:45
upd 04/10 16:03
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#177381
 fresh 2026-10-04 15:00 0s 0.528 0.498 38/66 2026-10-04 16:00 2026-10-04 16:36
4h
#177447
 fresh 2026-10-04 12:00 0s 0.484 0.497 47/66 2026-10-04 16:00 2026-10-04 16:38
1d
#175779
 fresh 2026-10-02 20:00 20h 0.298 0.420 65/66 2026-10-03 20:00 2026-10-03 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#117202
 fresh 2026-10-04 15:45 0s $2.0460 $2.0491 $2.0344 value 0.52 2.74
7d
#117268
 fresh 2026-10-04 15:00 0s $2.0445 $2.1267 $1.9757 hvn 0.60 11.03
30d
#117334
 fresh 2026-10-04 12:00 0s $2.0506 $2.1971 $1.9360 hvn -0.13 5.13

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2.0148 → $2.0185 0.18% 0.68 0.89 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.030325 +5.65
below $2.0552 → $2.0638 0.42% 1.60 0.92 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.006425 -1.20

Prix observé : $2.0488. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $1.9299 → $1.9676 1.94% 2.76 0.68 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.081158 +5.93
below $2.2022 → $2.2534 2.30% 3.74 0.65 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.153379 -11.21

Prix observé : $2.0488. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $1.8135 → $1.9147 5.43% 1.99 0.82 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.134078 +2.63
below $2.3942 → $2.4528 2.42% 1.15 0.84 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.345397 -6.79

Prix observé : $2.0488. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T19:45:57+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 843,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}