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← Research Observations / #16771
🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context
🪙 ARB
Market snapshot at
2026-10-04 18:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
17:00–18:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
18:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
19:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.202060
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $6,652,779
Synced: 10-04 19:15 +1.3h
← Prev (10-04 17:00) Next (10-04 19:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.5659
evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 17:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00018285
Settled at: 2026-10-04 18:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)120,145,031.60
OI (USD)$24,402,657
Mark price$0.203110
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$6,133,522
Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +1.560%
Change 4h +1.675%
Change 24h +1.365%
Z-score 7d 1.27
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.000991%
Percentile 7d 100.0% top
Percentile 30d 90.6%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h +0.193%
Divergence -0.59
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
4.140
OI / Vol z-7d
3.29 extrême
OI momentum 4h
+2.394%
Funding +ratio 24h
92.0%
Sign streak
+7
Time: 2026-10-04 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#217291
 fresh 22h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.620 expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 39% early 10b 0.3ATR — — 0.32 82% ↓ -0.61 above_value +0.03 — #114241 0.58 bull_high +13.15% +1.00
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 20:17
 ↗
4h
#224129
 fresh 2h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.491 compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% early 12b 0.4ATR — — 0.54 8% ↓ -0.30 above_value +1.10 — #117225 0.34 bull_high +2.57% -0.03
04/10 12:00
upd 04/10 16:11
 ↗
1h anchor
#224839
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.532 normal range_high
38%
noisy_chop 34% early 1b 0.2ATR near -0.4ATR near -1.0ATR 1.57 45% ↑ +0.59 above_value +0.29 — #117552 0.54 bull_low_confirmed +1.22% -0.08
04/10 17:00
upd 04/10 18:09
 ↗
15m
#224780
 fresh 0s ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.660 expansion range_medium
40%
noisy_chop 34% early 6b -0.5ATR near 0.5ATR — 2.04 89% ↑ +0.44 above_value +1.00 — #117422 0.25 bull_low_confirmed +0.77% -0.06
04/10 17:45
upd 04/10 18:00
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#177536
 fresh 2026-10-04 17:00 0s 0.536 0.511 36/65 2026-10-04 18:00 2026-10-04 18:35
4h
#177404
 fresh 2026-10-04 12:00 2h 0.466 0.526 54/66 2026-10-04 16:00 2026-10-04 16:37
1d
#175736
 fresh 2026-10-02 20:00 22h 0.483 0.651 49/66 2026-10-03 20:00 2026-10-03 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#117487
 fresh 2026-10-04 17:45 0s $0.201627 $0.203510 $0.199744 hvn 0.44 3.81
7d
#117552
 fresh 2026-10-04 17:00 0s $0.201498 $0.209813 $0.198613 hvn 0.29 5.83
30d
#117291
 fresh 2026-10-04 12:00 2h $0.221569 $0.231633 $0.161712 hvn -3.30 12.68

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.197510 → $0.198914 0.71% 1.42 0.79 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.003146 +3.18
below $0.204659 → $0.205170 0.25% 0.52 0.59 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.002599 -2.62

Prix observé : $0.202060. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.188430 → $0.191145 1.43% 1.41 0.87 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.010915 +5.68
below $0.221014 → $0.229160 3.62% 4.24 0.89 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.018954 -9.86

Prix observé : $0.202060. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.128870 → $0.134167 4.03% 0.96 0.64 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.067893 +12.31
above $0.185019 → $0.188197 1.70% 0.58 0.39 reversion — ↑ $0.013863 +2.51
below $0.235871 → $0.256000 8.18% 3.65 0.63 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.033811 -6.13

Prix observé : $0.202060. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T21:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}