Observation #16779

← Research Observations / #16779

🪙 XRP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XRP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-04 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.5087

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $42,411,259

Synced: 10-04 19:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-04 17:00) Next (10-04 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XRP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5659

evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 17:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00032122

Settled at: 2026-10-04 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)208,059,780.00

OI (USD)$314,325,480

Mark price$1.5107

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$38,879,307

Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.006%

Change 4h +1.735%

Change 24h +7.504%

Z-score 7d 0.00

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 95.8% top

Percentile 30d 92.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.453%

Divergence -0.17

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.405

OI / Vol z-7d

1.50

OI momentum 4h

+1.101%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+34 crowded

Time: 2026-10-04 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #217327	fresh	22h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.611	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 34%	early 10b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.16	28%	↓ -0.21	above_value	-0.63	—	#114250	0.87	bull_high	+13.15%	+0.05	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 20:19	↗
4h #224145	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.793	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 12b 0.6ATR	near -0.6ATR	near -0.3ATR	0.57	31%	↓ -0.70	value	+2.90	—	#117233	0.73	bull_high	+2.57%	-0.09	04/10 12:00 upd 04/10 16:12	↗
1h anchor #224847	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.625	expansion	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 42%	late 3b 1.4ATR	—	—	1.20	41%	↑ +0.55	above_value	+3.10	—	#117560	0.75	bull_low_confirmed	+1.22%	+0.01	04/10 17:00 upd 04/10 18:09	↗
15m #224788	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.557	expansion	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 39%	early 1b 0.7ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	1.34	90%	↔ +0.13	above_value	+2.84	—	#117430	0.39	bull_low_confirmed	+0.77%	-0.02	04/10 17:45 upd 04/10 18:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #177544	fresh	2026-10-04 17:00	0s	0.566	0.539	26/65	2026-10-04 18:00	2026-10-04 18:35
4h #177412	fresh	2026-10-04 12:00	2h	0.496	0.516	42/66	2026-10-04 16:00	2026-10-04 16:37
1d #175745	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	22h	0.460	0.610	55/66	2026-10-03 20:00	2026-10-03 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #117495	fresh	2026-10-04 17:45	0s	$1.5003	$1.5066	$1.4965	between	2.31	2.77
7d #117560	fresh	2026-10-04 17:00	0s	$1.4902	$1.5218	$1.4787	hvn	3.11	7.25
30d #117299	fresh	2026-10-04 12:00	2h	$1.5081	$1.6232	$1.4136	hvn	-0.15	10.91

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.4919 → $1.4950	0.21%	0.88	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.013665	+3.76
below	$1.5107 → $1.5139	0.21%	0.88	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002015	-0.55

Prix observé : $1.5087. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.4415 → $1.4666	1.73%	4.21	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.042096	+7.07
below	$1.5570 → $1.5620	0.32%	0.84	0.90	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.048279	-8.10

Prix observé : $1.5087. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.2487 → $1.2831	2.71%	1.79	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.225642	+11.75
above	$1.3071 → $1.3174	0.79%	0.54	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.191283	+9.96
below	$1.6129 → $1.6610	2.94%	2.50	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.104198	-5.42

Prix observé : $1.5087. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T21:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}