Observation #16854

← Research Observations / #16854

🪙 FET page 📊 Market Context

🪙 FET

Market snapshot at

2026-10-04 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.254390

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,874,307

Synced: 10-04 20:00 +1h

← Prev (10-04 18:00) Next (10-04 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · FET — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5397

evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 18:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00052205

Settled at: 2026-10-04 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)60,375,744.00

OI (USD)$15,312,496

Mark price$0.253620

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$6,750,882

Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.939%

Change 4h +0.254%

Change 24h +12.053%

Z-score 7d -0.77

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001596%

Percentile 7d 67.9%

Percentile 30d 74.2%

Δ 4h -0.001232%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.565%

Divergence 0.62

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.348

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.81

OI momentum 4h

-0.786%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+444 crowded

Time: 2026-10-04 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #217356	fresh	23h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.668	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 42%	early 7b 0.7ATR	—	—	0.37	43%	↑ +0.26	above_value	-1.40	—	#114262	0.66	bull_high	+13.15%	+0.97	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 20:20	↗
4h #224169	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.523	normal	bull_high_confirmed	65%	noisy_chop 48%	late 11b 3.1ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	2.94	98%	↔ -0.09	above_value	+5.21	inside	#117245	0.58	bull_high	+2.57%	+0.52	04/10 12:00 upd 04/10 16:13	↗
1h anchor #225181	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.722	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	73%	ranging_calm 50%	late 3b 1.9ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.79	85%	↑ +0.95	above_value	+4.49	—	#117702	0.52	bull_low_confirmed	+1.87%	+0.81	04/10 18:00 upd 04/10 19:09	↗
15m #225121	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.392	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 47%	early 8b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.35	76%	↓ -0.45	above_value	+3.79	—	#117572	0.12	bull_low_confirmed	+1.35%	+0.27	04/10 18:45 upd 04/10 19:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #177621	fresh	2026-10-04 18:00	0s	0.770	0.898	3/66	2026-10-04 19:00	2026-10-04 19:35
4h #177424	fresh	2026-10-04 12:00	3h	0.832	0.832	1/66	2026-10-04 16:00	2026-10-04 16:37
1d #175757	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	23h	0.532	0.721	36/66	2026-10-03 20:00	2026-10-03 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #117637	fresh	2026-10-04 18:45	0s	$0.240079	$0.252874	$0.227932	between	4.99	8.70
7d #117702	fresh	2026-10-04 18:00	0s	$0.230933	$0.238931	$0.218252	between	4.49	3.96
30d #117311	fresh	2026-10-04 12:00	3h	$0.226892	$0.249679	$0.180853	lvn LVN	2.93	7.73

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.221130 → $0.225341	1.89%	1.47	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.029049	+10.13
above	$0.225665 → $0.228256	1.14%	0.90	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.026134	+9.11
above	$0.228580 → $0.230200	0.71%	0.56	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.024190	+8.43

Prix observé : $0.254390. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.213180 → $0.215911	1.27%	0.52	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.038479	+7.37
above	$0.247905 → $0.251416	1.41%	0.67	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.002974	+0.57
below	$0.254538 → $0.260000	2.12%	1.05	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000148	-0.03

Prix observé : $0.254390. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.148300 → $0.156671	5.49%	0.94	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.097719	+10.97
above	$0.188294 → $0.193874	2.92%	0.63	0.66	reversion	✓	↑ $0.060516	+6.79
inside	$0.249679 → $0.259910	4.02%	1.15	0.83	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.254390. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}