Observation #16867

← Research Observations / #16867

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-04 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.223010

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,597,948

Synced: 10-04 20:01 +1h

← Prev (10-04 18:00) Next (10-04 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5397

evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 18:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00007400

Settled at: 2026-10-04 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)89,824,486.00

OI (USD)$20,057,808

Mark price$0.223300

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,611,818

Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.287%

Change 4h -0.103%

Change 24h +3.420%

Z-score 7d -0.22

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 81.0%

Percentile 30d 79.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +2.050%

Divergence 1.27

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.951

OI / Vol z-7d

1.13

OI momentum 4h

+0.265%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+420 crowded

Time: 2026-10-04 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 167 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #217386	fresh	23h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.544	volatile_reversal	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 36%	early 22b 0.5ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.29	60%	↔ +0.14	below_value	-8.03	—	#114277	0.58	bull_high	+13.15%	+0.77	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 20:22	↗
4h #224197	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.678	compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 34%	early 11b 0.4ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	0.20	14%	↓ -0.78	value	-5.20	—	#117259	0.69	bull_high	+2.57%	-0.31	04/10 12:00 upd 04/10 16:14	↗
1h anchor #225194	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.722	volatile_reversal	bull_medium_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 49%	late 7b 3.2ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	3.01	78%	↑ +0.40	value	-2.69	—	#117715	0.63	bull_low_confirmed	+1.87%	+0.17	04/10 18:00 upd 04/10 19:10	↗
15m #225133	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.380	volatile_reversal	bull_low_confirmed	35%	noisy_chop 48%	late 12b 2.6ATR	—	—	0.13	42%	↑ +0.89	value	-5.21	—	#117585	0.45	bull_low_confirmed	+1.35%	+0.12	04/10 18:45 upd 04/10 19:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #177634	fresh	2026-10-04 18:00	0s	0.709	0.621	8/66	2026-10-04 19:00	2026-10-04 19:36
4h #177438	fresh	2026-10-04 12:00	3h	0.485	0.529	46/66	2026-10-04 16:00	2026-10-04 16:38
1d #175772	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	23h	0.499	0.715	45/66	2026-10-03 20:00	2026-10-03 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #117650	fresh	2026-10-04 18:45	0s	$0.215763	$0.217952	$0.214848	lvn LVN	7.64	3.27
7d #117715	fresh	2026-10-04 18:00	0s	$0.227124	$0.231019	$0.216949	value	-2.69	9.20
30d #117325	fresh	2026-10-04 12:00	3h	$0.218062	$0.235674	$0.193947	hvn	0.11	9.74

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.217952 → $0.218588	0.29%	0.67	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.004422	+4.66
inside	$0.222886 → $0.224000	0.50%	1.17	0.87	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.223010. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.207150 → $0.209914	1.33%	1.81	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.013096	+8.56
above	$0.212426 → $0.213431	0.47%	0.66	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009579	+6.26
below	$0.233531 → $0.237300	1.60%	2.46	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.010521	-6.88

Prix observé : $0.223010. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.172270 → $0.175522	1.87%	0.76	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.047488	+11.09
above	$0.197740 → $0.200450	1.36%	0.63	0.52	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.022560	+5.27
above	$0.200992 → $0.207495	3.18%	1.52	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.015515	+3.62
below	$0.233507 → $0.237300	1.61%	0.89	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.010497	-2.45

Prix observé : $0.223010. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}