Observation #16881

← Research Observations / #16881

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-04 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.096313

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,851,280

Synced: 10-04 20:02 +1h

← Prev (10-04 18:00) Next (10-04 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5397

evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 18:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00014499

Settled at: 2026-10-04 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)970,670,066.00

OI (USD)$93,603,656

Mark price$0.096432

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$6,845,974

Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.473%

Change 4h +0.959%

Change 24h -0.445%

Z-score 7d 1.43

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 94.0%

Percentile 30d 79.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.141%

Divergence -0.41

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

14.101

OI / Vol z-7d

3.03 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+2.012%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+427 crowded

Time: 2026-10-04 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #217411	fresh	23h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.658	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 36%	early 8b 0.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.36	65%	↑ +0.64	above_value	-0.91	—	#114290	0.54	bull_high	+13.15%	+0.80	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 20:24	↗
4h #224228	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.422	compression	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 34%	early 12b 0.0ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.25	18%	↓ -0.81	above_value	+0.73	—	#117273	0.49	bull_high	+2.57%	-0.19	04/10 12:00 upd 04/10 16:15	↗
1h anchor #225209	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.574	normal	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 37%	early 8b 0.6ATR	—	—	1.50	23%	↑ +0.35	above_value	+0.60	—	#117729	0.53	bull_low_confirmed	+1.87%	-0.10	04/10 18:00 upd 04/10 19:10	↗
15m #225144	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	bullish_transition	weak	fading	0.412	expansion_after_compression	range_medium	35%	noisy_chop 37%	early 2b 0.6ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	0.07	2%	↑ +0.26	above_value	+0.48	—	#117599	0.18	bull_low_confirmed	+1.35%	-0.06	04/10 18:45 upd 04/10 19:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #177648	fresh	2026-10-04 18:00	0s	0.531	0.528	48/66	2026-10-04 19:00	2026-10-04 19:36
4h #177452	fresh	2026-10-04 12:00	3h	0.420	0.442	64/66	2026-10-04 16:00	2026-10-04 16:38
1d #175784	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	23h	0.417	0.570	60/66	2026-10-03 20:00	2026-10-03 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #117664	fresh	2026-10-04 18:45	0s	$0.095976	$0.096498	$0.095384	hvn	0.66	2.17
7d #117729	fresh	2026-10-04 18:00	0s	$0.095714	$0.101653	$0.094292	hvn	0.61	7.43
30d #117339	fresh	2026-10-04 12:00	3h	$0.095188	$0.109756	$0.084314	hvn	0.31	8.13

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.096893 → $0.097450	0.57%	1.09	0.93	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000580	-1.13

Prix observé : $0.096313. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.089272 → $0.090276	1.12%	1.01	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006037	+6.09
below	$0.105000 → $0.109350	4.06%	4.39	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008687	-8.77

Prix observé : $0.096313. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076517 → $0.080210	4.71%	1.18	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.016103	+5.14
below	$0.118374 → $0.125760	6.05%	2.36	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.022061	-7.05

Prix observé : $0.096313. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}