Observation #17215

← Research Observations / #17215

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-05 01:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

00:00–01:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

01:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

02:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$85,523.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,844,647,974

Synced: 10-05 02:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-05 00:00) Next (10-05 02:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3182

evaluated_at: 2026-10-05 00:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00034233

Settled at: 2026-10-05 01:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,341.44

OI (USD)$3,193,850,404

Mark price$85,531.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,663,013,704

Snapshot at: 2026-10-05 00:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.718%

Change 4h -0.795%

Change 24h +0.944%

Z-score 7d -0.72

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.274%

Divergence -1.63

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.201

OI / Vol z-7d

0.05

OI momentum 4h

-0.572%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+77 crowded

Time: 2026-10-05 00:00:00 OI observed: 23:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 00:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #225587	fresh	5h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.604	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 19b 1.5ATR	—	—	0.40	14%	↓ -0.44	above_value	+10.87	—	#117806	—	—	—	—	03/10 20:00 upd 04/10 20:15	↗
4h #226871	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.726	compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 44%	late 14b 3.2ATR	—	near -1.9ATR	1.31	63%	↓ -0.46	above_value	+9.50	—	#118253	—	—	—	—	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #227253	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.828	expansion_after_compression	range_low	46%	noisy_chop 40%	early 4b -0.6ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	2.31	90%	↑ +0.77	above_value	+7.63	—	#118380	—	—	—	—	05/10 00:00 upd 05/10 01:05	↗
15m #227196	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.666	expansion	range_low	44%	noisy_chop 48%	late 14b -2.7ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	1.11	94%	↑ +0.21	above_value	+7.63	—	#118380	—	—	—	—	05/10 00:45 upd 05/10 01:00	↗
5m #227195	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.522	expansion	range_low	43%	choppy 52%	late 6b -2.5ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	1.14	87%	↑ +0.35	above_value	+7.63	—	#118380	—	—	—	—	05/10 00:55 upd 05/10 01:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #178185	fresh	2026-10-05 00:00	0s	0.667	0.480	11/66	2026-10-05 01:00	2026-10-05 01:35
4h #178116	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	1h	0.583	0.549	18/67	2026-10-05 00:00	2026-10-05 00:37
1d #177793	fresh	2026-10-03 20:00	5h	0.576	0.737	24/66	2026-10-04 20:00	2026-10-04 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #118508	fresh	2026-10-05 00:45	0s	$86,487.44	$86,807.25	$85,400.08	value	-4.05	5.92
7d #118573	fresh	2026-10-05 00:00	0s	$83,585.38	$85,205.27	$82,863.27	between	5.58	6.74
30d #118444	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,359.20	value	3.46	13.44

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$84,797.00 → $85,034.58	0.28%	1.00	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $488.43	+2.05
below	$86,770.70 → $86,990.00	0.25%	0.92	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,247.70	-5.24

Prix observé : $85,523.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,551.00 → $82,863.27	0.38%	0.90	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,659.73	+7.65
below	$85,556.57 → $85,907.87	0.41%	1.01	0.48	continuation_up	—	↓ $33.5667	-0.10
below	$86,727.57 → $87,235.00	0.58%	1.46	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,204.57	-3.47

Prix observé : $85,523.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.77	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $10,096.33	+14.89
above	$79,930.20 → $80,768.07	1.04%	1.24	0.59	reversion	✓	↑ $4,754.93	+7.01
above	$81,501.20 → $82,758.00	1.53%	1.85	0.75	reversion	✓	↑ $2,765.00	+4.08
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.77	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,424.33	-2.10

Prix observé : $85,523.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	01:05	01:20	+0.01%	+0.03×	+0.25×	-0.20×	5m	15m	High first	0.16	0.00%	+0.01%	10.98%	0.19%	$25.02M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	01:05	02:05	+0.44%	+1.08×	+1.19×	-0.31×	1h	20m	Low first	0.66	0.00%	+0.44%	22.47%	0.62%	$148.06M	02:00 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	01:05	05:05	+0.73%	+1.77×	+2.88×	-0.31×	2h15m	20m	Low first	0.20	0.00%	+0.73%	32.85%	1.31%	$487.54M	02:00 / 02:50	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	01:05	13:05	-0.32%	-0.77×	+3.44×	-1.51×	9h15m	11h20m	High first	0.03	0.00%	-0.32%	41.92%	2.03%	$1.40B	02:00 / 02:50	12:15 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	01:05	01:05	+0.12%	+0.29×	+3.44×	-1.51×	9h15m	11h20m	High first	0.01	0.00%	+0.12%	33.91%	2.03%	$2.06B	02:00 / 02:50	12:15 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T04:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T04:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}