Observation #18465

← Research Observations / #18465

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-05 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.095553

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $15,147,458

Synced: 10-05 19:02 +1h

← Prev (10-05 17:00) Next (10-05 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.8457

evaluated_at: 2026-10-05 17:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00006487

Settled at: 2026-10-05 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)881,668,768.00

OI (USD)$84,270,783

Mark price$0.095581

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$15,499,476

Snapshot at: 2026-10-05 17:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.986%

Change 4h -2.110%

Change 24h -7.827%

Z-score 7d -1.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 97.0% top

Percentile 30d 80.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.718%

Divergence 1.83

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.216

OI / Vol z-7d

0.11

OI momentum 4h

-1.291%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+450 crowded

Time: 2026-10-05 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #225715	fresh	22h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.679	normal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 37%	early 9b 0.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.20	37%	↑ +0.34	above_value	+0.62	—	#117858	0.54	bull_high	+15.18%	+0.35	03/10 20:00 upd 04/10 20:22	↗
4h #232719	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.510	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 33%	early 18b -0.4ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	0.71	48%	↓ -0.53	value	-0.67	—	#120929	0.49	bull_high	+2.54%	-0.27	05/10 12:00 upd 05/10 16:16	↗
1h anchor #233428	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.606	expansion	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 36%	early 7b 0.3ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.29	8%	↓ -0.16	above_value	-0.47	—	#121286	0.53	bull_medium	+0.82%	+0.01	05/10 17:00 upd 05/10 18:12	↗
15m #233357	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.826	compression	range_medium	43%	noisy_chop 46%	late 4b 1.5ATR	—	—	0.10	7%	↓ -0.46	above_value	-0.69	—	#121142	0.46	range_low	+0.21%	+0.07	05/10 17:45 upd 05/10 18:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #179685	fresh	2026-10-05 17:00	0s	0.535	0.561	50/71	2026-10-05 18:00	2026-10-05 18:36
4h #179543	fresh	2026-10-05 12:00	2h	0.427	0.483	67/70	2026-10-05 16:00	2026-10-05 16:38
1d #177846	fresh	2026-10-03 20:00	22h	0.391	0.560	63/66	2026-10-04 20:00	2026-10-04 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #121214	fresh	2026-10-05 17:45	0s	$0.095193	$0.096942	$0.094208	value	0.62	4.72
7d #121286	fresh	2026-10-05 17:00	0s	$0.095673	$0.099442	$0.093220	hvn	-0.47	4.96
30d #121000	fresh	2026-10-05 12:00	2h	$0.096419	$0.109756	$0.084314	hvn	-0.82	8.54

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.092721 → $0.093284	0.61%	0.97	0.55	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002269	+3.92
below	$0.096902 → $0.097545	0.66%	1.11	0.58	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001349	-2.33

Prix observé : $0.095553. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.089272 → $0.090947	1.86%	1.33	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004606	+3.67
below	$0.101835 → $0.103630	1.75%	1.43	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006282	-5.00

Prix observé : $0.095553. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076517 → $0.080210	4.71%	1.24	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.015343	+5.15
below	$0.118374 → $0.125760	6.05%	2.48	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.022821	-7.66

Prix observé : $0.095553. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T21:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T21:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}