Observation #18533

← Research Observations / #18533

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-05 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.7168

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,111,029

Synced: 10-05 20:02 +1h

← Prev (10-05 18:00) Next (10-05 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7716

evaluated_at: 2026-10-05 18:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.010992%

Annualized96.29%

Premium0.00137936

Settled at: 2026-10-05 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,384,254.00

OI (USD)$9,207,608

Mark price$2.7207

Funding next0.010940%

Day vol (USD)$1,086,412

Snapshot at: 2026-10-05 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.176%

Change 4h —

Change 24h +2.957%

Z-score 7d -0.20

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.003728%

Avg 24h 0.001623%

Percentile 7d 96.4% top

Percentile 30d 92.9%

Δ 4h +0.002422%

🔀 Price × OI

— undetermined

Price Δ 4h +0.485%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.671

OI / Vol z-7d

2.35 extrême

OI momentum 4h

—

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+661 crowded

Time: 2026-10-05 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 161 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #225703	fresh	23h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.715	expansion	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 41%	early 9b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.35	33%	↓ -0.19	above_value	+6.82	—	#117852	0.50	bull_high	+15.18%	+0.86	03/10 20:00 upd 04/10 20:22	↗
4h #232701	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.693	compression	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 39%	early 10b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.77	30%	↔ -0.08	above_value	+6.11	—	#120923	0.41	bull_high	+2.54%	+0.19	05/10 12:00 upd 05/10 16:15	↗
1h anchor #233782	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.543	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 36%	early 6b 0.5ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	1.46	62%	↑ +0.30	above_value	+6.18	—	#121426	0.55	bull_medium	+0.78%	+0.01	05/10 18:00 upd 05/10 19:10	↗
15m #233711	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.624	compression	range_medium	38%	noisy_chop 40%	late 25b 1.2ATR	—	—	0.23	18%	↓ -0.39	above_value	+5.90	—	#121280	0.42	range_low	+0.18%	+0.07	05/10 18:45 upd 05/10 19:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #179751	fresh	2026-10-05 18:00	0s	0.559	0.556	32/73	2026-10-05 19:00	2026-10-05 19:36
4h #179538	fresh	2026-10-05 12:00	3h	0.555	0.644	32/70	2026-10-05 16:00	2026-10-05 16:38
1d #177840	fresh	2026-10-03 20:00	23h	0.445	0.697	61/66	2026-10-04 20:00	2026-10-04 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #121353	fresh	2026-10-05 18:45	0s	$2.7062	$2.7161	$2.6722	between	0.96	3.97
7d #121426	fresh	2026-10-05 18:00	0s	$2.5559	$2.6327	$2.4465	between	6.18	7.16
30d #120994	fresh	2026-10-05 12:00	3h	$2.7114	$2.8340	$2.4306	hvn	-0.15	6.29

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.7255 → $2.7370	0.42%	1.04	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008708	-0.79
below	$2.7653 → $2.7778	0.45%	1.13	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.048450	-4.38

Prix observé : $2.7168. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.4138 → $2.4432	1.21%	1.13	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.273592	+10.51
above	$2.6360 → $2.6719	1.35%	1.38	0.49	continuation_up	—	↑ $0.044868	+1.72
below	$2.7732 → $2.8059	1.17%	1.26	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.056425	-2.17

Prix observé : $2.7168. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0905 → $2.1300	1.87%	0.62	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.586780	+9.15
below	$2.8736 → $2.9843	3.78%	1.73	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.156760	-2.44

Prix observé : $2.7168. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T22:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}