Observation #18605

← Research Observations / #18605

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-05 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.453710

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,426,973

Synced: 10-05 21:01 +1h

← Prev (10-05 19:00) Next (10-05 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5617

evaluated_at: 2026-10-05 19:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.004538%

Annualized39.76%

Premium0.00086307

Settled at: 2026-10-05 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)20,287,163.40

OI (USD)$9,203,880

Mark price$0.453680

Funding next0.004753%

Day vol (USD)$2,436,879

Snapshot at: 2026-10-05 19:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.098%

Change 4h -1.743%

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.002070%

Avg 24h 0.007252%

Percentile 7d 56.5%

Percentile 30d 72.8%

Δ 4h -0.002902%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.170%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.783

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

-2.767%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1210 crowded

Time: 2026-10-05 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 129 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #234340	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.652	compression	bull_high	46%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 31b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.90	74%	↓ -0.40	above_value	+1.04	—	#121570	0.72	bull_high	+13.84%	-0.90	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 20:24	↗
4h #234212	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.563	compression	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 37%	early 19b 0.6ATR	—	near -1.8ATR	0.96	45%	↑ +0.71	above_value	+1.04	—	#121570	0.63	bull_high	+2.54%	+0.19	05/10 16:00 upd 05/10 20:17	↗
1h anchor #234209	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.701	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 32%	early 3b 0.2ATR	—	near -1.0ATR	0.22	30%	↓ -0.57	above_value	+1.04	—	#121570	0.66	range_medium	+0.56%	+0.21	05/10 19:00 upd 05/10 20:17	↗
15m #234069	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	weak	grind	0.605	compression	range_medium	36%	noisy_chop 41%	late 14b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.09	17%	↓ -0.81	above_value	+1.45	—	#121424	0.39	range_low	-0.04%	-0.09	05/10 19:45 upd 05/10 20:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #179824	fresh	2026-10-05 19:00	0s	0.498	0.526	54/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:36
4h #179897	fresh	2026-10-05 16:00	0s	0.536	0.545	45/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:38
1d #179970	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	0s	0.389	0.463	70/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #121497	fresh	2026-10-05 19:45	0s	$0.452150	$0.458887	$0.448466	value	0.64	4.25
7d #121570	fresh	2026-10-05 19:00	0s	$0.447122	$0.460901	$0.423376	hvn	1.04	6.48
30d #121643	fresh	2026-10-05 16:00	0s	$0.493516	$0.529730	$0.440586	hvn	-3.02	6.71

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.441100 → $0.444693	0.81%	1.46	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009017	+3.68
below	$0.460863 → $0.462660	0.39%	0.73	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.007153	-2.91

Prix observé : $0.453710. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.392300 → $0.400509	2.07%	1.42	0.55	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.053201	+9.18
above	$0.406958 → $0.409890	0.72%	0.51	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.043820	+7.56
above	$0.420444 → $0.423962	0.83%	0.61	0.41	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.029748	+5.13
below	$0.459728 → $0.462660	0.64%	0.51	0.57	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006018	-1.04

Prix observé : $0.453710. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.392300 → $0.405300	3.26%	0.98	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.048410	+3.64
below	$0.550159 → $0.557588	1.34%	0.56	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.096449	-7.26
below	$0.579874 → $0.615160	5.91%	2.66	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.126164	-9.50

Prix observé : $0.453710. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T23:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T23:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-05T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}