Observation #18699

← Research Observations / #18699

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-05 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$85,641.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,302,042,381

Synced: 10-05 23:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-05 21:00) Next (10-05 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.283

evaluated_at: 2026-10-05 21:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00022168

Settled at: 2026-10-05 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,902.14

OI (USD)$3,330,952,568

Mark price$85,623.90

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,384,006,438

Snapshot at: 2026-10-05 21:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.141%

Change 4h -0.429%

Change 24h +2.750%

Z-score 7d 0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.341%

Divergence -0.22

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.370

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.40

OI momentum 4h

-3.024%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+98 crowded

Time: 2026-10-05 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #234175	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.605	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 20b 1.3ATR	—	—	1.00	63%	↓ -0.31	value	+5.49	—	#121518	—	—	—	—	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 20:15	↗
4h #234086	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.610	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 41%	early 5b 0.9ATR	—	near -1.1ATR	0.76	27%	↑ +0.62	above_value	+5.95	—	#121372	—	—	—	—	05/10 16:00 upd 05/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #234958	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.667	compression	range_medium	38%	noisy_chop 40%	early 9b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.57	42%	↓ -0.39	above_value	+6.04	—	#121738	—	—	—	—	05/10 21:00 upd 05/10 22:05	↗
15m #234892	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.575	expansion	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 3b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.95	50%	↔ -0.01	above_value	+6.04	—	#121738	—	—	—	—	05/10 21:45 upd 05/10 22:00	↗
5m #234891	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.634	expansion	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 42%	late 10b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.27	11%	↑ +0.41	above_value	+6.04	—	#121738	—	—	—	—	05/10 21:55 upd 05/10 22:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #180063	fresh	2026-10-05 21:00	0s	0.518	0.485	35/72	2026-10-05 22:00	2026-10-05 22:35
4h #179844	fresh	2026-10-05 16:00	2h	0.542	0.550	43/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:37
1d #179917	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	2h	0.582	0.697	30/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #121812	fresh	2026-10-05 21:45	0s	$85,910.94	$86,313.13	$85,450.25	value	-1.59	5.08
7d #121885	fresh	2026-10-05 21:00	0s	$83,655.94	$85,876.79	$83,270.50	value	5.21	6.84
30d #121591	fresh	2026-10-05 16:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,359.20	value	2.55	12.00

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$84,953.00 → $85,187.00	0.28%	1.38	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $454.00	+2.67
below	$86,503.25 → $86,708.00	0.24%	1.20	0.58	continuation_up	✓	↓ $862.25	-5.07

Prix observé : $85,641.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,830.00 → $83,307.21	0.57%	1.25	0.47	continuation_down	—	↑ $2,333.79	+6.12
below	$86,647.67 → $87,235.00	0.68%	1.54	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,006.67	-2.64

Prix observé : $85,641.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.69	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $10,214.33	+13.45
above	$79,930.20 → $80,768.07	1.04%	1.10	0.63	reversion	✓	↑ $4,872.93	+6.42
above	$81,501.20 → $82,758.00	1.53%	1.66	0.76	reversion	✓	↑ $2,883.00	+3.80
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.69	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,306.33	-1.72

Prix observé : $85,641.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	22:05	22:20	-0.04%	-0.08×	+0.08×	-0.32×	5m	15m	High first	0.31	0.00%	-0.04%	26.54%	0.18%	$9.59M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	22:05	23:05	+0.01%	+0.03×	+0.49×	-0.32×	25m	15m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.01%	31.15%	0.36%	$44.84M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	22:05	02:05	-0.24%	-0.55×	+0.50×	-0.66×	3h5m	1h30m	Low first	0.10	0.00%	-0.24%	22.32%	0.51%	$147.81M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	22:05	10:05	+0.82%	+1.87×	+2.46×	-1.18×	11h50m	4h15m	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+0.82%	27.37%	1.60%	$836.98M	04:05 / 07:15	02:10 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	22:05	22:05	-2.05%	-4.68×	+2.97×	-5.91×	13h	1d	High first	0.11	0.00%	-2.05%	34.19%	3.90%	$2.18B	04:05 / 07:15	02:10 / 21:55	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T01:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T01:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}