Observation #18836

← Research Observations / #18836

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-05 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.048203

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,378,731

Synced: 10-06 00:02 +1h

← Prev (10-05 22:00) Next (10-06 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.195

evaluated_at: 2026-10-05 22:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000113

Settled at: 2026-10-05 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)176,314,612.00

OI (USD)$8,494,662

Mark price$0.048179

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,370,326

Snapshot at: 2026-10-05 22:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.049%

Change 4h +0.642%

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001582%

Percentile 7d 61.3%

Percentile 30d 74.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -3.540%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.680

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

+1.021%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1013 crowded

Time: 2026-10-05 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 95 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #234370	fresh	3h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.602	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	69%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 6b 1.1ATR	—	—	1.61	82%	↑ +0.22	above_value	+0.67	—	#121584	0.37	bull_high	+13.84%	+0.99	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 20:25	↗
4h #234268	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.600	compression	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b 0.7ATR	near 0.0ATR	near 0.5ATR	0.61	76%	↔ +0.04	above_value	+0.67	—	#121584	0.42	bull_high	+2.54%	+0.27	05/10 16:00 upd 05/10 20:20	↗
1h anchor #235385	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.577	normal	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 47%	late 3b -1.8ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.16	36%	↓ -0.82	above_value	-1.69	—	#122096	0.31	range_medium	+0.27%	-0.50	05/10 22:00 upd 05/10 23:11	↗
15m #235244	fresh	15min	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.476	normal	bear_medium	58%	noisy_chop 55%	late 12b -3.3ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.13	15%	↓ -0.21	above_value	-0.52	—	#121952	0.23	range_low	-0.23%	-0.28	05/10 22:30 upd 05/10 22:48	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #180201	fresh	2026-10-05 22:00	0s	0.423	0.434	68/72	2026-10-05 23:00	2026-10-05 23:37
4h #179910	fresh	2026-10-05 16:00	3h	0.620	0.757	17/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:39
1d #179983	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	3h	0.689	0.883	10/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #122024	fresh	2026-10-05 22:45	0s	$0.049851	$0.051234	$0.048468	lvn LVN	-5.99	10.05
7d #122096	fresh	2026-10-05 22:00	0s	$0.049581	$0.053210	$0.046080	hvn	-1.69	8.74
30d #121657	fresh	2026-10-05 16:00	3h	$0.042090	$0.050177	$0.039711	value	3.80	5.03

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.048080 → $0.048468	0.80%	1.41	0.89	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.051961 → $0.052155	0.37%	0.71	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003758	-13.66
below	$0.053029 → $0.053902	1.63%	3.17	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004826	-17.54

Prix observé : $0.048203. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.040987 → $0.042133	2.76%	1.40	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006070	+7.44
above	$0.043279 → $0.045189	4.32%	2.34	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003014	+3.69
below	$0.055502 → $0.056266	1.37%	0.94	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.007299	-8.94

Prix observé : $0.048203. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.033432 → $0.037238	10.77%	1.83	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.010965	+5.26
below	$0.054744 → $0.056266	2.74%	0.73	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006541	-3.14

Prix observé : $0.048203. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T02:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T02:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}