Observation #18985

← Research Observations / #18985

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-06 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$85,502.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,861,201,603

Synced: 10-06 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-06 01:00) Next (10-06 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2901

evaluated_at: 2026-10-06 01:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00016208

Settled at: 2026-10-06 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,060.57

OI (USD)$3,340,714,194

Mark price$85,526.50

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,970,755,712

Snapshot at: 2026-10-06 01:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.154%

Change 4h -0.091%

Change 24h +4.187%

Z-score 7d 0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.162%

Divergence -0.11

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.600

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.28

OI momentum 4h

+0.338%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+102 crowded

Time: 2026-10-06 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #234175	fresh	6h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.605	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 20b 1.3ATR	—	—	1.00	63%	↓ -0.31	value	+5.49	—	#121518	—	—	—	—	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 20:15	↗
4h #235672	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.608	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	early 6b 0.3ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.72	22%	↑ +0.75	value	+4.88	—	#122030	—	—	—	—	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #236435	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.596	compression	range_medium	40%	noisy_chop 42%	early 4b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.38	20%	↓ -0.52	value	+5.48	—	#122385	—	—	—	—	06/10 01:00 upd 06/10 02:05	↗
15m #236372	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.454	compression	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 48%	early 3b -1.1ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.84	40%	↓ -0.53	value	+5.48	—	#122385	—	—	—	—	06/10 01:45 upd 06/10 02:00	↗
5m #236371	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.430	compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 10b -1.5ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	0.26	3%	↑ +0.19	value	+5.48	—	#122385	—	—	—	—	06/10 01:55 upd 06/10 02:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #180416	fresh	2026-10-06 01:00	0s	0.474	0.494	49/72	2026-10-06 02:00	2026-10-06 02:35
4h #180277	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	2h	0.529	0.534	30/70	2026-10-06 00:00	2026-10-06 00:37
1d #179917	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	6h	0.582	0.697	30/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #122455	fresh	2026-10-06 01:45	0s	$85,928.38	$86,296.85	$85,458.75	value	-3.22	6.33
7d #122528	fresh	2026-10-06 01:00	0s	$84,189.34	$85,885.43	$83,332.18	value	3.82	7.42
30d #122244	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,359.20	value	1.95	12.07

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$84,953.00 → $85,155.30	0.24%	1.53	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $346.70	+2.62
below	$86,455.80 → $86,687.00	0.27%	1.75	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $953.80	-7.21

Prix observé : $85,502.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,858.00 → $83,332.18	0.57%	1.38	0.50	continuation_down	—	↑ $2,169.83	+6.31
below	$86,651.40 → $87,235.00	0.67%	1.70	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,149.40	-3.34

Prix observé : $85,502.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.56	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $10,180.07	+13.49
above	$79,825.47 → $80,768.07	1.17%	1.25	0.64	reversion	✓	↑ $4,733.93	+6.27
above	$81,501.20 → $82,758.00	1.53%	1.66	0.76	reversion	✓	↑ $2,744.00	+3.64
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.69	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,445.33	-1.91

Prix observé : $85,502.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	02:05	02:20	-0.10%	-0.24×	+0.04×	-0.68×	5m	15m	High first	0.26	0.00%	-0.10%	86.58%	0.29%	$36.93M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	02:05	03:05	-0.05%	-0.13×	+0.05×	-0.68×	45m	15m	Low first	0.08	0.00%	-0.05%	30.15%	0.30%	$75.84M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	02:05	06:05	+0.70%	+1.71×	+2.51×	-0.68×	3h50m	15m	Low first	0.24	0.00%	+0.70%	29.08%	1.30%	$328.81M	04:05 / 05:00	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	02:05	14:05	+0.48%	+1.19×	+3.81×	-0.68×	9h	15m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.48%	33.34%	1.83%	$1.22B	04:05 / 05:00	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	02:05	02:05	-1.22%	-2.99×	+3.81×	-5.79×	9h	20h	High first	0.06	0.00%	-1.22%	34.88%	3.91%	$2.49B	04:05 / 05:00	21:55 / 21:55	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T05:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T05:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}