Observation #18991

← Research Observations / #18991

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-06 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.203200

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $10,015,324

Synced: 10-06 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-06 01:00) Next (10-06 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2901

evaluated_at: 2026-10-06 01:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00030528

Settled at: 2026-10-06 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)119,570,347.40

OI (USD)$24,301,477

Mark price$0.203240

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$9,997,714

Snapshot at: 2026-10-06 01:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.071%

Change 4h -0.103%

Change 24h -0.224%

Z-score 7d 0.07

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 91.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.878%

Divergence -0.55

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.424

OI / Vol z-7d

0.32

OI momentum 4h

+0.232%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+39 crowded

Time: 2026-10-06 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #234199	fresh	6h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.621	normal	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 37%	early 12b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.35	82%	↓ -0.78	value	+1.39	—	#121524	0.58	bull_high	+13.84%	+0.96	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 20:17	↗
4h #235684	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.624	compression	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 38%	early 20b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.66	9%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+0.03	—	#122179	0.34	bull_high	+2.20%	+0.47	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 00:11	↗
1h anchor #236441	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.579	normal	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 8b -0.7ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.16	2%	↓ -0.60	above_value	-0.25	—	#122534	0.64	range_medium	+0.24%	+0.03	06/10 01:00 upd 06/10 02:09	↗
15m #236378	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.600	compression	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 10b -1.3ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	0.88	22%	↓ -0.49	above_value	-0.23	—	#122391	0.56	range_low	-0.25%	-0.06	06/10 01:45 upd 06/10 02:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #180422	fresh	2026-10-06 01:00	0s	0.477	0.493	46/72	2026-10-06 02:00	2026-10-06 02:35
4h #180283	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	2h	0.467	0.484	53/70	2026-10-06 00:00	2026-10-06 00:37
1d #179923	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	6h	0.493	0.674	56/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #122461	fresh	2026-10-06 01:45	0s	$0.207429	$0.208512	$0.203617	between	-4.53	5.24
7d #122534	fresh	2026-10-06 01:00	0s	$0.203841	$0.208592	$0.199786	hvn	-0.25	3.45
30d #122250	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	2h	$0.218049	$0.248722	$0.169701	hvn	-2.55	14.42

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.201370 → $0.201852	0.24%	0.52	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001348	+1.44
below	$0.209556 → $0.211000	0.69%	1.55	0.57	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006356	-6.81

Prix observé : $0.203200. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.188430 → $0.191674	1.71%	1.27	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.011526	+4.52
above	$0.193992 → $0.196078	1.07%	0.82	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007122	+2.79
below	$0.214386 → $0.216240	0.86%	0.73	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.011186	-4.38

Prix observé : $0.203200. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.131230 → $0.134349	2.35%	0.57	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.068851	+12.56
above	$0.178019 → $0.182178	2.31%	0.76	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.021022	+3.84
above	$0.184257 → $0.188416	2.23%	0.76	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.014784	+2.70
below	$0.237285 → $0.256000	7.59%	3.41	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.034085	-6.22

Prix observé : $0.203200. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T05:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T05:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}