Observation #19107

← Research Observations / #19107

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-06 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.009452

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,814,523

Synced: 10-06 04:02 +1h

← Prev (10-06 02:00) Next (10-06 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2848

evaluated_at: 2026-10-06 02:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00020516

Settled at: 2026-10-06 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,503,984,876.00

OI (USD)$14,220,177

Mark price$0.009455

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,985,708

Snapshot at: 2026-10-06 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.404%

Change 4h -1.267%

Change 24h +3.240%

Z-score 7d -0.22

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001406%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 90.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.382%

Divergence 0.45

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.324

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.51

OI momentum 4h

+8.772%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+83 crowded

Time: 2026-10-06 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #234336	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.562	volatile_reversal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 41%	early 12b 0.5ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.64	74%	↑ +0.29	above_value	-2.00	—	#121568	0.72	bull_high	+13.84%	+0.98	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 20:24	↗
4h #235770	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.381	compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 40%	early 5b -0.5ATR	—	—	3.05	85%	↑ +0.48	value	-4.53	—	#122222	0.57	bull_high	+2.20%	+0.42	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 00:15	↗
1h anchor #236846	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.406	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 3b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.21	19%	↓ -0.46	value	-3.84	—	#122724	0.64	range_medium	-0.01%	-0.31	06/10 02:00 upd 06/10 03:10	↗
15m #236776	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.385	normal	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 42%	early 3b -0.2ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	0.14	11%	↓ -0.40	value	-3.77	—	#122578	0.54	range_low	-0.46%	+0.01	06/10 02:45 upd 06/10 03:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #180538	fresh	2026-10-06 02:00	0s	0.497	0.447	42/73	2026-10-06 03:00	2026-10-06 03:36
4h #180326	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	3h	0.549	0.449	21/70	2026-10-06 00:00	2026-10-06 00:38
1d #179968	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	7h	0.498	0.684	53/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #122651	fresh	2026-10-06 02:45	0s	$0.009551	$0.009845	$0.009469	between	-2.10	7.94
7d #122724	fresh	2026-10-06 02:00	0s	$0.009917	$0.010059	$0.009289	value	-3.84	6.37
30d #122293	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	3h	$0.009802	$0.010497	$0.008769	value	-1.40	5.70

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.009324 → $0.009360	0.39%	0.77	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000092	+1.96
above	$0.009391 → $0.009415	0.26%	0.51	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000037	+0.79
below	$0.009687 → $0.009718	0.31%	0.64	0.57	reversion	✓	↓ $0.000235	-4.85
below	$0.009978 → $0.010051	0.73%	1.54	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000526	-11.07

Prix observé : $0.009452. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.008635 → $0.008736	1.16%	0.83	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000716	+5.89
below	$0.010328 → $0.010646	3.04%	2.63	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000876	-7.25

Prix observé : $0.009452. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.006666 → $0.007117	6.54%	1.49	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002335	+7.70
below	$0.010647 → $0.011173	4.82%	1.74	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001195	-3.94

Prix observé : $0.009452. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}