Observation #19109

← Research Observations / #19109

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-06 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.432500

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,185,515

Synced: 10-06 04:02 +1h

← Prev (10-06 02:00) Next (10-06 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2848

evaluated_at: 2026-10-06 02:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00052908

Settled at: 2026-10-06 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)19,889,866.40

OI (USD)$8,591,229

Mark price$0.431940

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,652,557

Snapshot at: 2026-10-06 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.681%

Change 4h -7.096%

Change 24h -2.091%

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.005449%

Percentile 7d 50.0%

Percentile 30d 68.2%

Δ 4h -0.000065%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.440%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.518

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

-6.812%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1217 crowded

Time: 2026-10-06 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 129 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #234340	fresh	7h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.652	compression	bull_high	46%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 31b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.90	74%	↓ -0.40	above_value	+1.04	—	#121570	0.72	bull_high	+13.84%	-0.90	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 20:24	↗
4h #235777	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.500	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 1b -1.4ATR	near 0.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	4.17	90%	↑ +0.87	below_value	-3.46	—	#122224	0.63	bull_high	+2.20%	-0.00	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 00:15	↗
1h anchor #236848	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.396	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 40%	late 3b -1.5ATR	—	—	3.79	99%	↑ +0.39	value	-1.98	—	#122726	0.62	range_medium	-0.01%	-0.40	06/10 02:00 upd 06/10 03:10	↗
15m #236705	fresh	15min	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.725	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	44%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 7b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.08	50%	↑ +0.74	below_value	-3.37	—	#122580	0.33	range_low	-0.43%	-0.46	06/10 02:30 upd 06/10 02:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #180540	fresh	2026-10-06 02:00	0s	0.650	0.407	4/73	2026-10-06 03:00	2026-10-06 03:36
4h #180328	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	3h	0.519	0.328	35/70	2026-10-06 00:00	2026-10-06 00:38
1d #179970	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	7h	0.389	0.463	70/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #122653	fresh	2026-10-06 02:45	0s	$0.421592	$0.452891	$0.419602	value	2.85	8.68
7d #122726	fresh	2026-10-06 02:00	0s	$0.447367	$0.458291	$0.428190	value	-1.98	4.00
30d #122295	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	3h	$0.493516	$0.529730	$0.442444	hvn	-3.68	6.62

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.434437 → $0.444568	2.31%	2.64	0.72	reversion	✓	↓ $0.001937	-0.51

Prix observé : $0.432500. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.404400 → $0.415566	2.72%	1.49	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.016934	+2.25

Prix observé : $0.432500. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.392300 → $0.405300	3.26%	0.99	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.027200	+2.06
below	$0.550159 → $0.557588	1.34%	0.56	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.117659	-8.92
below	$0.579874 → $0.615160	5.91%	2.67	0.94	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.147374	-11.17

Prix observé : $0.432500. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}