Observation #19114

← Research Observations / #19114

🪙 NIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 NIL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-06 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.100750

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $8,824,404

Synced: 10-06 04:02 +1h

← Prev (10-06 02:00) Next (10-06 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · NIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2848

evaluated_at: 2026-10-06 02:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00007555

Settled at: 2026-10-06 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)80,114,600.00

OI (USD)$8,028,284

Mark price$0.100210

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$10,010,350

Snapshot at: 2026-10-06 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.073%

Change 4h -1.296%

Change 24h -16.005%

Z-score 7d -0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001334%

Percentile 7d 86.9%

Percentile 30d 77.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.260%

Divergence -0.25

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.770

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.19

OI momentum 4h

-1.699%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+898 crowded

Time: 2026-10-06 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 154 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #234351	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.739	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 6b 1.2ATR	—	—	2.01	99%	↑ +0.72	above_value	+5.41	—	#121575	0.30	bull_high	+13.84%	+1.00	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 20:25	↗
4h #235792	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.731	volatile_reversal	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early 2b 0.8ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.70	74%	↑ +0.93	value	+4.38	—	#122229	0.13	bull_high	+2.20%	+0.97	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 00:16	↗
1h anchor #236853	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.534	compression	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 45%	late 9b -0.5ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.16	45%	↓ -0.48	value	+4.54	—	#122731	0.12	range_medium	-0.01%	+0.44	06/10 02:00 upd 06/10 03:10	↗
15m #236781	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.395	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 42%	early 4b -1.0ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.07	1%	↓ -0.51	value	+4.15	—	#122585	0.09	range_low	-0.46%	-0.36	06/10 02:45 upd 06/10 03:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #180545	fresh	2026-10-06 02:00	0s	0.553	0.633	16/73	2026-10-06 03:00	2026-10-06 03:36
4h #180333	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	3h	0.545	0.644	22/70	2026-10-06 00:00	2026-10-06 00:38
1d #179975	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	7h	0.813	0.959	2/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #122658	fresh	2026-10-06 02:45	0s	$0.111495	$0.116800	$0.101724	between	-7.79	10.94
7d #122731	fresh	2026-10-06 02:00	0s	$0.082886	$0.102573	$0.077427	value	4.54	6.39
30d #122300	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	3h	$0.106711	$0.128396	$0.078567	hvn	-0.57	7.16

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.094465 → $0.095209	0.79%	0.54	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005541	+4.02
below	$0.103399 → $0.106377	2.84%	2.16	0.73	reversion	✓	↓ $0.002649	-1.92
below	$0.114939 → $0.116800	1.61%	1.35	0.61	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014189	-10.29

Prix observé : $0.100750. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.090662 → $0.094632	4.29%	1.01	0.44	continuation_up	—	↑ $0.006118	+1.55
below	$0.103565 → $0.106212	2.52%	0.67	0.38	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.002815	-0.72
below	$0.114484 → $0.116800	2.00%	0.59	0.43	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.013734	-3.49

Prix observé : $0.100750. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.042579 → $0.049038	14.10%	0.93	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.051712	+7.43
above	$0.052729 → $0.061957	16.09%	1.33	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.038793	+5.57
above	$0.070262 → $0.076721	8.79%	0.93	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.024029	+3.45

Prix observé : $0.100750. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}