Observation #19774

← Research Observations / #19774

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-06 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$11.4360

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $17,315,955

Synced: 10-06 14:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-06 12:00) Next (10-06 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2949

evaluated_at: 2026-10-06 12:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00006439

Settled at: 2026-10-06 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,956,763.62

OI (USD)$45,380,122

Mark price$11.4690

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$16,460,235

Snapshot at: 2026-10-06 12:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.491%

Change 4h +5.673%

Change 24h +17.661%

Z-score 7d -0.27

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001255%

Percentile 7d 95.2% top

Percentile 30d 91.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.807%

Divergence -1.85

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.789

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.11

OI momentum 4h

+2.990%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+88 crowded

Time: 2026-10-06 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #234187	fresh	17h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.689	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 11b 1.2ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	0.62	92%	↔ +0.11	above_value	+1.32	—	#121521	0.72	bull_high	+13.84%	+1.00	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 20:16	↗
4h #240163	fresh	1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.472	compression	bull_high_confirmed	64%	noisy_chop 41%	late 23b 2.0ATR	—	near -1.6ATR	3.30	93%	↑ +0.48	above_value	+3.66	—	#124117	0.54	bull_high	+2.28%	+0.41	06/10 08:00 upd 06/10 12:11	↗
1h anchor #240566	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.622	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	64%	noisy_chop 43%	early 1b 0.8ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.85	70%	↑ +0.58	above_value	+3.10	—	#124325	0.61	range_medium	+0.16%	+0.41	06/10 12:00 upd 06/10 13:08	↗
15m #240504	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.589	normal	bull_medium	61%	noisy_chop 43%	early 7b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.49	84%	↓ -0.69	above_value	+3.66	—	#124117	0.52	range_low	-0.37%	+0.08	06/10 12:45 upd 06/10 13:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #181425	fresh	2026-10-06 12:00	0s	0.613	0.584	12/69	2026-10-06 13:00	2026-10-06 13:35
4h #181355	fresh	2026-10-06 08:00	1h	0.697	0.665	7/69	2026-10-06 12:00	2026-10-06 12:37
1d #179920	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	17h	0.572	0.802	34/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #124255	fresh	2026-10-06 12:45	0s	$11.2993	$11.5309	$11.1461	hvn	1.79	5.03
7d #124325	fresh	2026-10-06 12:00	0s	$11.0120	$11.2301	$10.8045	between	3.10	3.11
30d #124186	fresh	2026-10-06 08:00	1h	$11.0289	$11.5341	$10.2409	between	2.40	5.70

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.9110 → $10.9680	0.52%	0.74	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.468000	+6.12
above	$10.9823 → $11.1248	1.29%	1.86	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.311250	+4.07

Prix observé : $11.4360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.4320 → $10.6023	1.62%	1.25	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.833733	+6.10
below	$11.5707 → $11.7090	1.19%	1.01	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.134658	-0.98

Prix observé : $11.4360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$8.2608 → $9.3923	12.82%	4.98	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.0437	+9.00

Prix observé : $11.4360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T16:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T16:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}