Observation #19965

← Research Observations / #19965

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-06 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.0163

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,259,856

Synced: 10-06 16:02 +1h

← Prev (10-06 14:00) Next (10-06 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2642

evaluated_at: 2026-10-06 14:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00026815

Settled at: 2026-10-06 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,682,302.60

OI (USD)$11,463,477

Mark price$2.0174

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,323,122

Snapshot at: 2026-10-06 14:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.444%

Change 4h +0.449%

Change 24h +0.328%

Z-score 7d 0.40

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000013%

Avg 24h 0.001199%

Percentile 7d 13.1%

Percentile 30d 29.9%

Δ 4h -0.001263%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.787%

Divergence -0.61

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.040

OI / Vol z-7d

1.20

OI momentum 4h

+0.041%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-06 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #234347	fresh	19h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.536	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 37b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.35	28%	↓ -0.20	above_value	+0.76	—	#121573	0.47	bull_high	+13.84%	-0.34	04/10 20:00 upd 05/10 20:24	↗
4h #240259	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	weak	fading	0.659	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	early 9b -0.8ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.75	18%	↓ -0.19	above_value	-0.15	—	#124165	0.32	bull_high	+2.28%	-0.33	06/10 08:00 upd 06/10 12:15	↗
1h anchor #241301	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.513	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b -0.5ATR	—	—	1.00	51%	↑ +0.17	value	-1.61	—	#124657	0.50	range_medium	+0.07%	-0.18	06/10 14:00 upd 06/10 15:10	↗
15m #241235	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.372	expansion	range_medium	42%	noisy_chop 36%	early 3b -0.2ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.04	1%	↔ -0.02	value	-1.81	—	#124517	0.67	range_low	-0.41%	+0.05	06/10 14:45 upd 06/10 15:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #181615	fresh	2026-10-06 14:00	0s	0.505	0.439	32/72	2026-10-06 15:00	2026-10-06 15:36
4h #181403	fresh	2026-10-06 08:00	3h	0.437	0.456	61/69	2026-10-06 12:00	2026-10-06 12:38
1d #179973	fresh	2026-10-04 20:00	19h	0.329	0.492	73/73	2026-10-05 20:00	2026-10-05 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #124587	fresh	2026-10-06 14:45	0s	$2.0092	$2.0293	$2.0014	hvn	0.75	2.95
7d #124657	fresh	2026-10-06 14:00	0s	$2.0453	$2.1200	$2.0005	value	-1.61	6.64
30d #124234	fresh	2026-10-06 08:00	3h	$2.0514	$2.1759	$1.9445	hvn	-0.49	5.45

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.0354 → $2.0523	0.83%	1.80	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.019057	-2.02

Prix observé : $2.0163. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.9775 → $2.0005	1.16%	1.28	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.015808	+0.88
below	$2.2028 → $2.2534	2.27%	2.81	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.186518	-10.37

Prix observé : $2.0163. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.8135 → $1.9226	5.84%	2.57	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.093654	+2.21
below	$2.3156 → $2.3374	0.94%	0.51	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.299271	-7.05

Prix observé : $2.0163. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T18:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T18:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}