Observation #20315

← Research Observations / #20315

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-06 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.009114

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,834,137

Synced: 10-06 21:01 +1h

← Prev (10-06 19:00) Next (10-06 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3519

evaluated_at: 2026-10-06 19:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00000975

Settled at: 2026-10-06 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,591,334,532.00

OI (USD)$14,525,702

Mark price$0.009128

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$8,983,914

Snapshot at: 2026-10-06 19:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +3.302%

Change 4h +6.168%

Change 24h -5.992%

Z-score 7d 2.02 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 90.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.171%

Divergence -2.35 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.616

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.87

OI momentum 4h

+6.014%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+100 crowded

Time: 2026-10-06 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243269	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.649	volatile_reversal	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	early 13b 0.0ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.04	87%	↔ +0.10	below_value	-5.64	—	#125425	0.72	bull_high	+13.29%	+0.91	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:23	↗
4h #243129	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.480	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 10b -1.1ATR	—	—	2.65	87%	↑ +0.80	below_value	-5.64	—	#125425	0.57	bull_high	+2.02%	-0.21	06/10 16:00 upd 06/10 20:16	↗
1h anchor #243127	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.515	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 40%	late 4b -1.8ATR	—	—	0.18	29%	↑ +0.81	below_value	-5.64	—	#125425	0.63	range_medium	+0.12%	-0.29	06/10 19:00 upd 06/10 20:16	↗
15m #243005	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.488	normal	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 16b -1.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.12	62%	↓ -0.78	below_value	-5.63	—	#125283	0.54	range_low	-0.25%	-0.29	06/10 19:45 upd 06/10 20:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #182028	fresh	2026-10-06 19:00	0s	0.485	0.384	32/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:36
4h #182098	fresh	2026-10-06 16:00	0s	0.531	0.425	19/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:38
1d #182168	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	0s	0.393	0.476	63/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #125354	fresh	2026-10-06 19:45	0s	$0.009551	$0.009628	$0.009154	between	-6.56	7.12
7d #125425	fresh	2026-10-06 19:00	0s	$0.009917	$0.009992	$0.009138	between	-5.64	6.15
30d #125496	fresh	2026-10-06 16:00	0s	$0.009765	$0.010422	$0.008769	value	-2.16	5.49

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.008947 → $0.008987	0.45%	0.60	0.51	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000127	+1.91
below	$0.009274 → $0.009314	0.43%	0.60	0.51	reversion	✓	↓ $0.000160	-2.40
below	$0.009628 → $0.009748	1.24%	1.80	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000514	-7.73

Prix observé : $0.009114. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.008635 → $0.008769	1.54%	0.97	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000345	+2.49
below	$0.010328 → $0.010646	3.04%	2.29	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001214	-8.75

Prix observé : $0.009114. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.006666 → $0.007117	6.54%	1.50	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001997	+6.63
below	$0.010647 → $0.011173	4.82%	1.75	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001533	-5.09

Prix observé : $0.009114. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T23:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T23:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-06T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}