Observation #20487

← Research Observations / #20487

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-06 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,826.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,422,592,327

Synced: 10-07 00:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1613

evaluated_at: 2026-10-06 22:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00035278

Settled at: 2026-10-06 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,305.46

OI (USD)$3,378,846,670

Mark price$83,831.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,375,878,237

Snapshot at: 2026-10-06 22:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.122%

Change 4h -0.284%

Change 24h +6.382%

Z-score 7d -1.46

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.997%

Divergence -2.75 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.952

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.13

OI momentum 4h

-1.988%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+123 crowded

Time: 2026-10-06 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243122	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.600	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 21b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.72	33%	↓ -0.29	above_value	-0.25	—	#125376	—	—	—	—	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:15	↗
4h #243024	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.581	normal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 7b 0.0ATR	near 0.4ATR	near -0.5ATR	0.56	22%	↑ +0.63	above_value	-0.28	—	#125234	—	—	—	—	06/10 16:00 upd 06/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #244245	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.524	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	48%	noisy_chop 40%	late 11b -3.4ATR	—	—	4.37	100%	↔ +0.10	below_value	-3.24	—	#125732	—	—	—	—	06/10 22:00 upd 06/10 23:05	↗
15m #244179	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.528	volatile_reversal	bear_low_confirmed	37%	choppy 49%	late 3b -3.5ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.49	62%	↑ +0.78	below_value	-3.24	—	#125732	—	—	—	—	06/10 22:45 upd 06/10 23:00	↗
5m #244178	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.516	volatile_reversal	bear_low	39%	choppy 48%	mid 9b -1.6ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.11	45%	↓ -0.41	below_value	-3.24	—	#125732	—	—	—	—	06/10 22:55 upd 06/10 23:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #182332	fresh	2026-10-06 22:00	0s	0.648	0.422	14/76	2026-10-06 23:00	2026-10-06 23:35
4h #182049	fresh	2026-10-06 16:00	3h	0.509	0.535	27/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:37
1d #182119	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	3h	0.570	0.706	19/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #125804	fresh	2026-10-06 22:45	0s	$85,571.90	$86,475.40	$85,141.00	between	-6.71	5.13
7d #125879	fresh	2026-10-06 22:00	0s	$85,632.63	$86,694.88	$84,282.32	between	-4.01	5.35
30d #125447	fresh	2026-10-06 16:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,359.20	hvn	2.01	12.80

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,334.00 → $83,612.00	0.33%	1.07	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $214.00	+0.82
below	$84,112.40 → $84,307.00	0.23%	0.75	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↓ $286.40	-1.10
below	$84,529.40 → $85,113.20	0.69%	2.24	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↓ $703.40	-2.70

Prix observé : $83,826.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,914.00 → $83,454.13	0.65%	1.20	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $371.88	+0.82
below	$86,694.88 → $87,235.00	0.62%	1.20	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,868.88	-6.36

Prix observé : $83,826.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.59	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,504.07	+11.94
above	$79,720.73 → $80,768.07	1.31%	1.47	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $3,057.93	+4.29
above	$81,605.93 → $82,758.00	1.40%	1.62	0.78	reversion	✓	↑ $1,068.00	+1.50
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.74	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,121.33	-4.38

Prix observé : $83,826.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	23:05	23:20	+0.10%	+0.19×	+0.22×	-0.18×	15m	10m	Low first	0.31	0.00%	+0.10%	76.10%	0.22%	$22.81M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	23:05	00:05	+0.24%	+0.44×	+0.50×	-0.18×	45m	10m	Low first	0.24	0.00%	+0.24%	34.03%	0.36%	$73.12M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	23:05	03:05	+0.21%	+0.40×	+0.83×	-0.18×	3h40m	10m	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+0.21%	21.89%	0.54%	$260.75M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	23:05	11:05	-1.33%	-2.50×	+0.83×	-2.82×	3h40m	10h45m	High first	0.13	0.00%	-1.33%	30.70%	1.94%	$1.36B	— / —	06:05 / 09:35	—	100%
1d	computed	23:05	23:05	-1.19%	-2.24×	+0.83×	-2.82×	3h40m	10h45m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-1.19%	28.63%	1.94%	$2.21B	— / —	06:05 / 09:35	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T02:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T02:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}