Observation #20546

← Research Observations / #20546

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-06 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.8872

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,069,768

Synced: 10-07 00:02 +1h

← Prev (10-06 22:00) Next (10-07 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1613

evaluated_at: 2026-10-06 22:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.007722%

Annualized-67.64%

Premium-0.00111773

Settled at: 2026-10-06 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,469,162.60

OI (USD)$10,319,763

Mark price$1.8869

Funding next-0.007407%

Day vol (USD)$5,407,694

Snapshot at: 2026-10-06 22:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.489%

Change 4h -0.616%

Change 24h +0.906%

Z-score 7d -1.51

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000205%

Avg 24h 0.000650%

Percentile 7d 11.3%

Percentile 30d 28.5%

Δ 4h -0.000780%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -5.730%

Divergence -2.34 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.549

OI / Vol z-7d

0.76

OI momentum 4h

-0.940%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-06 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243280	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.573	compression	range_high	29%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 38b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.37	32%	↓ -0.35	value	-1.99	—	#125430	0.47	bull_high	+13.29%	-0.66	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:24	↗
4h #243149	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	weak	grind	0.535	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 11b -0.9ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	0.36	3%	↓ -0.30	value	-1.99	—	#125430	0.32	bull_high	+2.02%	-0.30	06/10 16:00 upd 06/10 20:17	↗
1h anchor #244303	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.509	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	46%	noisy_chop 42%	late 11b -3.0ATR	—	—	11.91	100%	↑ +0.43	below_value	-4.41	inside	#125936	0.52	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.84%	-0.44	06/10 22:00 upd 06/10 23:11	↗
15m #244231	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.244	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 53%	late 3b -2.6ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.58	94%	↑ +0.95	below_value	-3.68	—	#125787	0.67	bear_low_confirmed	-2.03%	-0.38	06/10 22:45 upd 06/10 23:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #182389	fresh	2026-10-06 22:00	0s	0.548	0.260	60/76	2026-10-06 23:00	2026-10-06 23:36
4h #182103	fresh	2026-10-06 16:00	3h	0.421	0.435	61/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:38
1d #182173	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	3h	0.298	0.424	69/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #125861	fresh	2026-10-06 22:45	0s	$2.0075	$2.0347	$1.8602	value	-4.77	6.91
7d #125936	fresh	2026-10-06 22:00	0s	$2.0482	$2.1473	$1.9998	lvn LVN	-4.41	4.04
30d #125501	fresh	2026-10-06 16:00	3h	$2.0512	$2.1711	$1.9443	hvn	-1.06	5.55

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.8659	9.31%	6.57	0.37	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.021272	+0.84
below	$1.9003 → $1.9432	2.23%	1.70	0.37	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.013058	-0.52
below	$1.9518 → $1.9746	1.17%	0.91	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.064553	-2.56

Prix observé : $1.8872. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.7000 → $1.9398	13.18%	6.57	0.82	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.9536 → $1.9767	1.17%	0.63	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.066442	-1.82

Prix observé : $1.8872. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.8135 → $1.9182	5.61%	2.56	0.85	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$2.3106 → $2.3368	1.13%	0.64	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.423435	-10.37

Prix observé : $1.8872. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T02:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T02:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}