Observation #2061

← Research Observations / #2061

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-09-26 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.447430

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,972,174

Synced: 09-27 00:02 +1h

← Prev (09-26 22:00) Next (09-27 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6056

evaluated_at: 2026-09-26 22:45:58 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00037369

Settled at: 2026-09-26 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)18,993,235.60

OI (USD)$8,498,143

Mark price$0.447430

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,963,757

Snapshot at: 2026-09-26 22:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -4.782%

Change 4h -6.497%

Change 24h -10.695%

Z-score 7d -2.61 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.007387%

Percentile 7d 43.5%

Percentile 30d 74.7%

Δ 4h -0.000441%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.627%

Divergence 1.23

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.719

OI / Vol z-7d

0.57

OI momentum 4h

-0.765%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+997 crowded

Time: 2026-09-26 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #146496	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.555	compression	bull_high	46%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 22b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.48	41%	↑ +0.36	value	-7.37	—	#83776	0.73	bull_high	+14.90%	-0.99	25/09 20:00 upd 26/09 20:22	↗
4h #146353	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.440	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	early 17b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.18	75%	↓ -0.84	value	-7.37	—	#83776	0.63	bull_high	+3.58%	-0.09	26/09 16:00 upd 26/09 20:17	↗
1h anchor #147624	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.545	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 3b -1.2ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	1.60	66%	↑ +0.59	below_value	-8.89	—	#84352	0.55	range_low	+0.39%	-0.30	26/09 22:00 upd 26/09 23:10	↗
15m #147544	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.368	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 14b -1.2ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.43	77%	↑ +0.97	below_value	-8.51	—	#84186	0.66	range_low	+0.34%	-0.21	26/09 22:45 upd 26/09 23:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #158625	fresh	2026-09-26 22:00	0s	0.551	0.442	28/83	2026-09-26 23:00	2026-09-26 23:36
4h #158297	fresh	2026-09-26 16:00	3h	0.402	0.376	81/82	2026-09-26 20:00	2026-09-26 20:38
1d #158379	fresh	2026-09-25 20:00	3h	0.309	0.349	82/82	2026-09-26 20:00	2026-09-26 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #84269	fresh	2026-09-26 22:45	0s	$0.446838	$0.456934	$0.444155	hvn	0.20	4.26
7d #84352	fresh	2026-09-26 22:00	0s	$0.509426	$0.537742	$0.452279	hvn	-8.89	12.26
30d #83858	fresh	2026-09-26 16:00	3h	$0.490744	$0.549367	$0.436384	value	-1.82	6.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.462812 → $0.466135	0.72%	1.11	0.55	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.015382	-5.12
below	$0.470224 → $0.472780	0.54%	0.85	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.022794	-7.59

Prix observé : $0.447430. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.419330 → $0.428597	2.19%	1.33	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.018833	+2.70
below	$0.461546 → $0.473902	2.64%	1.77	0.40	reversion	—	↓ $0.014116	-2.02
below	$0.533623 → $0.542890	1.72%	1.33	0.56	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.086193	-12.36

Prix observé : $0.447430. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.613319 → $0.675140	9.60%	3.34	0.89	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.165889	-8.96

Prix observé : $0.447430. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-27T02:45:58+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 842,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-27T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-27T02:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-27T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}