Observation #20939

← Research Observations / #20939

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.407420

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,483,398

Synced: 10-07 05:01 +1h

← Prev (10-07 03:00) Next (10-07 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5179

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 03:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00002652

Settled at: 2026-10-07 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)19,261,602.40

OI (USD)$7,843,710

Mark price$0.407220

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,511,254

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 03:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.179%

Change 4h +0.443%

Change 24h -5.124%

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.002118%

Percentile 7d 43.5%

Percentile 30d 66.7%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.226%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.124

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

+5.147%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1242 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 129 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243276	fresh	8h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.530	compression	bear_high	46%	noisy_chop 39%	late 32b -0.9ATR	—	—	1.30	86%	↓ -0.31	value	-0.62	—	#125428	0.72	bull_high	+13.29%	-0.96	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:24	↗
4h #246247	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.658	normal	bear_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 35%	late 8b -1.6ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.51	43%	↑ +0.54	below_value	-6.60	—	#126793	0.63	range_high	+0.30%	-0.68	07/10 00:00 upd 07/10 04:17	↗
1h anchor #246246	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.630	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 43%	late 5b -1.8ATR	—	—	1.23	87%	↓ -0.19	below_value	-6.60	—	#126793	0.61	bear_medium	-1.37%	-0.37	07/10 03:00 upd 07/10 04:17	↗
15m #246026	fresh	15min	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.739	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 39%	early 7b -0.7ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.14	1%	↓ -0.62	below_value	-6.99	—	#126635	0.41	bear_low	-0.96%	-0.09	07/10 03:30 upd 07/10 03:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #182855	fresh	2026-10-07 03:00	0s	0.495	0.354	51/80	2026-10-07 04:00	2026-10-07 04:36
4h #182933	fresh	2026-10-07 00:00	0s	0.423	0.317	75/80	2026-10-07 04:00	2026-10-07 04:39
1d #182171	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	8h	0.265	0.201	70/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #126714	fresh	2026-10-07 03:45	0s	$0.417221	$0.425304	$0.408820	between	-4.02	6.77
7d #126793	fresh	2026-10-07 03:00	0s	$0.447086	$0.458437	$0.424650	lvn LVN	-6.60	5.62
30d #126872	fresh	2026-10-07 00:00	0s	$0.443103	$0.505356	$0.418060	lvn LVN	-2.65	6.18

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.399310 → $0.401846	0.63%	1.04	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005574	+2.29
below	$0.425621 → $0.432278	1.55%	2.73	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.018201	-7.47
below	$0.436082 → $0.437350	0.29%	0.52	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.028662	-11.77

Prix observé : $0.407420. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.399310 → $0.407757	2.09%	1.41	0.74	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.408813 → $0.412508	0.90%	0.61	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.001393	-0.23

Prix observé : $0.407420. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.392300 → $0.410904	4.63%	1.32	0.75	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.539702 → $0.564030	4.41%	1.72	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.132282	-9.36

Prix observé : $0.407420. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T07:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T07:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}