Observation #20941

← Research Observations / #20941

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.8915

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,959,896

Synced: 10-07 05:01 +1h

← Prev (10-07 03:00) Next (10-07 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5179

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 03:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.002629%

Annualized-23.03%

Premium-0.00071033

Settled at: 2026-10-07 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,477,351.20

OI (USD)$10,373,610

Mark price$1.8939

Funding next-0.002629%

Day vol (USD)$5,252,972

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 03:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.957%

Change 4h +0.385%

Change 24h -3.345%

Z-score 7d 1.86

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.003161%

Avg 24h -0.000896%

Percentile 7d 7.7%

Percentile 30d 14.9%

Δ 4h +0.004561%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.542%

Divergence 0.10

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.932

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.98

OI momentum 4h

+4.522%

Funding +ratio 24h

64.0%

Sign streak

-6

Time: 2026-10-07 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243280	fresh	8h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.573	compression	range_high	29%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 38b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.37	32%	↓ -0.35	value	-1.99	—	#125430	0.47	bull_high	+13.29%	-0.66	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:24	↗
4h #246253	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.364	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 39%	late 1b -2.2ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.98	40%	↔ +0.12	below_value	-5.07	—	#126795	0.33	range_high	+0.30%	-0.61	07/10 00:00 upd 07/10 04:17	↗
1h anchor #246252	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.337	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 43%	late 5b -1.9ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.15	11%	↑ +0.42	below_value	-5.07	—	#126795	0.52	bear_medium	-1.37%	-0.41	07/10 03:00 upd 07/10 04:17	↗
15m #246101	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.450	compression	bear_medium	63%	noisy_chop 37%	late 23b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.09	10%	↓ -0.50	below_value	-4.72	—	#126637	0.65	bear_low	-1.15%	-0.01	07/10 03:45 upd 07/10 04:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #182857	fresh	2026-10-07 03:00	0s	0.497	0.352	48/80	2026-10-07 04:00	2026-10-07 04:37
4h #182935	fresh	2026-10-07 00:00	0s	0.450	0.295	59/80	2026-10-07 04:00	2026-10-07 04:39
1d #182173	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	8h	0.298	0.424	69/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #126716	fresh	2026-10-07 03:45	0s	$1.8845	$1.9861	$1.7000	hvn	0.62	25.53
7d #126795	fresh	2026-10-07 03:00	0s	$2.0482	$2.1519	$1.9998	between	-5.07	5.14
30d #126874	fresh	2026-10-07 00:00	0s	$2.0529	$2.1670	$1.9441	between	-2.87	3.85

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.8631	9.15%	14.55	0.35	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.028433	+2.54
below	$1.9060 → $1.9432	1.93%	3.32	0.35	reversion	—	↓ $0.014480	-1.29
below	$1.9518 → $1.9746	1.17%	2.04	0.70	reversion	✓	↓ $0.060253	-5.38
below	$2.0347 → $2.0433	0.42%	0.77	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.143217	-12.78

Prix observé : $1.8915. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.8614	9.06%	5.45	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.030092	+1.02
below	$1.9075 → $1.9398	1.68%	1.09	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.016025	-0.54
below	$1.9536 → $1.9767	1.17%	0.78	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.062142	-2.10

Prix observé : $1.8915. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.8433	8.09%	2.47	0.95	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.048220	+0.83

Prix observé : $1.8915. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T07:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T07:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}