Observation #21103

← Research Observations / #21103

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 06:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

05:00–06:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

06:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

07:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.5315

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,994,540

Synced: 10-07 07:01 +1h

← Prev (10-07 05:00) Next (10-07 07:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1393

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 05:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00006517

Settled at: 2026-10-07 06:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,245,158.40

OI (USD)$8,198,893

Mark price$2.5265

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,921,323

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 05:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.038%

Change 4h -0.422%

Change 24h -6.966%

Z-score 7d -0.09

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.002010%

Percentile 7d 71.4%

Percentile 30d 83.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.876%

Divergence -0.87

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.816

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.64

OI momentum 4h

+6.651%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+696 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 161 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243278	fresh	10h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.723	normal	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 40%	early 11b 0.5ATR	—	—	0.49	50%	↓ -0.53	value	-0.35	—	#125429	0.50	bull_high	+13.29%	+0.86	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:24	↗
4h #246250	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.525	normal	bear_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 7b -1.3ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.54	66%	↑ +0.21	above_value	-4.32	—	#126794	0.41	range_high	+0.30%	-0.51	07/10 00:00 upd 07/10 04:17	↗
1h anchor #247025	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.508	normal	bear_high_confirmed	59%	choppy 51%	late 3b -3.2ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	4.96	100%	↑ +0.68	below_value	-5.52	—	#127200	0.61	bear_medium	-1.70%	-0.47	07/10 05:00 upd 07/10 06:12	↗
15m #246948	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.759	compression	bear_medium_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 46%	late 13b -3.8ATR	—	—	2.63	96%	↑ +0.64	value	-4.82	—	#127037	0.50	bear_low	-1.34%	-0.14	07/10 05:45 upd 07/10 06:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #183099	fresh	2026-10-07 05:00	0s	0.586	0.302	4/80	2026-10-07 06:00	2026-10-07 06:37
4h #182934	fresh	2026-10-07 00:00	2h	0.547	0.443	20/80	2026-10-07 04:00	2026-10-07 04:39
1d #182172	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	10h	0.455	0.723	51/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #127119	fresh	2026-10-07 05:45	0s	$2.5576	$2.6036	$2.5116	value	-1.92	6.75
7d #127200	fresh	2026-10-07 05:00	0s	$2.7036	$2.7932	$2.5575	hvn	-5.52	8.40
30d #126873	fresh	2026-10-07 00:00	2h	$2.7114	$2.8340	$2.4306	hvn	-1.96	6.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.6567 → $2.6792	0.84%	1.65	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.125236	-9.19
below	$2.7078 → $2.7221	0.53%	1.05	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.176340	-12.94
below	$2.7365 → $2.7569	0.74%	1.50	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.204958	-15.04

Prix observé : $2.5315. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.4443 → $2.4726	1.15%	1.01	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.058910	+2.10
below	$2.6360 → $2.6675	1.19%	1.12	0.33	reversion	—	↓ $0.104543	-3.72
below	$2.7869 → $2.8215	1.23%	1.23	0.58	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.255423	-9.10

Prix observé : $2.5315. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0905 → $2.1300	1.87%	0.60	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.401480	+6.07
below	$2.8736 → $2.9843	3.78%	1.67	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.342060	-5.17

Prix observé : $2.5315. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T09:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T09:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}