Observation #21207

← Research Observations / #21207

🪙 ETH page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ETH

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 08:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

07:00–08:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

08:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

09:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2,577.60

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,253,310,308

Synced: 10-07 09:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-07 07:00) Next (10-07 09:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ETH — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.049

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 07:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001035%

Annualized9.06%

Premium-0.00041723

Settled at: 2026-10-07 08:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,178,028.04

OI (USD)$3,034,835,840

Mark price$2,576.20

Funding next0.000938%

Day vol (USD)$1,160,237,794

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 07:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.083%

Change 4h +0.019%

Change 24h -0.362%

Z-score 7d 0.13

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000124%

Avg 24h 0.001115%

Percentile 7d 0.6% bottom

Percentile 30d 4.4%

Δ 4h -0.001126%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.453%

Divergence -1.79

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.678

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.57

OI momentum 4h

-0.455%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-07 07:00:00 OI observed: 06:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 07:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243126	fresh	12h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.627	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 40%	early 21b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.62	29%	↓ -0.38	above_value	+0.18	—	#125377	0.91	bull_high	+13.29%	-0.06	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:15	↗
4h #247749	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.398	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	44%	noisy_chop 40%	late 15b -3.0ATR	near -2.0ATR	—	1.88	82%	↑ +0.45	below_value	-7.58	—	#127467	0.84	range_high	-0.18%	-0.30	07/10 04:00 upd 07/10 08:12	↗
1h anchor #247748	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.502	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	64%	choppy 52%	late 5b -3.4ATR	—	—	1.06	74%	↑ +0.50	below_value	-7.58	inside	#127467	0.89	bear_medium	-1.71%	-0.23	07/10 07:00 upd 07/10 08:12	↗
15m #247679	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.401	expansion_after_compression	bear_low	52%	noisy_chop 48%	mid 6b -1.9ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.92	85%	↑ +0.66	below_value	-7.38	—	#127302	0.83	bear_low	-1.21%	-0.10	07/10 07:45 upd 07/10 08:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #183200	fresh	2026-10-07 07:00	0s	0.536	0.343	13/82	2026-10-07 08:00	2026-10-07 08:35
4h #183281	fresh	2026-10-07 04:00	0s	0.538	0.392	17/82	2026-10-07 08:00	2026-10-07 08:37
1d #182120	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	12h	0.538	0.661	27/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #127384	fresh	2026-10-07 07:45	0s	$2,616.80	$2,690.91	$2,566.30	value	-4.90	15.56
7d #127467	fresh	2026-10-07 07:00	0s	$2,695.05	$2,729.68	$2,676.40	between	-7.58	3.44
30d #127550	fresh	2026-10-07 04:00	0s	$2,694.39	$2,779.31	$2,500.02	value	-3.68	9.02

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2,625.33 → $2,652.87	1.04%	3.44	0.50	reversion	✓	↓ $47.7250	-5.96
below	$2,658.12 → $2,683.04	0.93%	3.11	0.82	reversion	✓	↓ $80.5167	-10.06

Prix observé : $2,577.60. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2,621.35 → $2,651.54	1.15%	1.95	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↓ $43.7508	-2.82
below	$2,768.75 → $2,779.40	0.38%	0.69	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $191.15	-12.33

Prix observé : $2,577.60. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2,356.60 → $2,386.79	1.27%	0.97	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $190.81	+6.16
above	$2,541.53 → $2,567.95	1.03%	0.85	0.55	reversion	✓	↑ $9.6467	+0.31
below	$2,586.82 → $2,605.70	0.73%	0.61	0.47	reversion	—	↓ $9.2242	-0.30
below	$2,771.76 → $2,809.50	1.35%	1.22	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $194.16	-6.27

Prix observé : $2,577.60. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T11:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T11:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}